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Brendan Paddy

@bjpaddy.bsky.social

2.1k Following2.2k Followers

Looking to make the outdoors for everyone as director of Ramblers Scotland but these are personal views. Expect pics of walks, posts on politics/world news, risidual overseas aid and guest appearances by a small hairy murderer named Pixie.

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@kevinrothrock.meOct 11, 2026, 5:55 PMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

we all knew this one was coming

@electoralreform.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 8:40 AMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

The electoral system is the heart of our democracy. Decisions about it deserve the greatest care.

A national commission built on public involvement, openness and evidence can get this right. Read more from the UCL Constitution Unit:
buff.ly/zDitfyf

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 8:27 AM

I used to work on international death penalty cases, including in the US. I've read thick policy reports, philosophical treaties & gruesome case studies that all highlight why it's ineffective, unjust & harmful. Save yourself the trouble & watch Kieslowski's A Short Film About Killing instead

A movie poster for Krzysztof Kieślowski's "A Short Film About Killing," featuring a close-up, yellow-tinted profile of a young man's face against a dark background.
@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 8:16 AM

Why democracies stopped public executions, their politcal purpose in authoritian regimes & who they harm
youtube.com/watch?v=9GaG...

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 12:44 PM

rude

@sundersays.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 7:37 AMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

The Bjg Time Chatlie account seeking to identify & incite vs RNLI staff as traitors was run by a recruitment consultant in Worcestershire who is a Restore donor & Cromwell Club member. He hss now deactivated the anon troll account after being publicly identifird

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026...

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 8:25 AM

I would like to thank James Talarico for the discovery today in Morningside of the potato and egg breakfast taco

@carlquintanilla.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 2:27 AMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

(NYT) - Artificial intelligence agents created by Anthropic, acting on their own, tried to gain access to a range of government websites, filled out visa applications on the State Department’s website and sent a fake homicide tip to Philadelphia’s Police Department.

www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/t...

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 6:41 AM

Yes, agree with your original point, even if the choices of many voters, not just in the US, make me want to bang my head against the wall

@jakemgrumbach.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 4:54 PMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment.

www.nber.org/papers/w35854

Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…
141
@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 6:32 AM

We can't separate this US Government from the political system that produced it. Whoever is in charge in future the US will, rightly, be regarded as an unreliable ally for a long time to come. Rather like where the UK is at with the EU ...

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 10:01 PM

At least someone is finally getting some in this extremely misjudged & belated sequel to The Wicker Man

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 8:01 PM

NI secretary to ban the Drumcree parade
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

@blackfordsaferoutes.co.ukOct 9, 2026, 9:47 AMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

The irony is that you can’t sell cars in car-dominated space, because no one wants to go there!

@peterwalker99.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 6:07 AMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

NEW: Kemi Badenoch’s flagship party conference policy document, The Right Way, overestimated the cost of net zero by nearly £500bn, seemingly after someone accidentally double-counted figures on a spreadsheet.

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

theguardian.comTories overstate net zero cost by nearly £500bn in apparent spreadsheet errorExclusive: Badenoch’s flagship conference policy document cites £957bn estimate, twice the total in climate advisers’ data
98
@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 6:05 AM

Sounds like the main issue was in fact a good, old fashioned navigational error www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 5:58 AM

AI is the new Google Maps. Good on this kid for owning his mistake, we've all made them, but we have to find ways to support better decision making before people need mountain rescue.
www.nytimes.com/2026/10/07/w...

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 5:45 AM

Good - this is not some sudden crisis, it's the result of a systematic effort to address a long running issue
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

@bjpaddy.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 8:36 PM

Was feeling profligate for blowing £12 on some cheap cuts of lamb for a tagine until I divided it up for freezing and realised that was 65p per portion...

@danneidle.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 11:54 AMReposted by @bjpaddy.bsky.social

Kemi Badenoch wants to exempt the family home from inheritance tax. But that creates a perverse incentive for elderly people to *upsize* to save IHT. That could double the cost of the policy, and push £100bn+ from savings into housing. A 🧵 on bad tax cuts.

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