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Bobby Duffy

@bobbyduffy.bsky.social

369 Following15.9k Followers

Director, Policy Institute at King's College London and Chair of the Campaign for Social Science

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@policyatkings.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 9:40 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

Join us tomorrow at Conservative Party Conference, as we discuss the future of the workforce with Baroness Amanda Spielman, Lord David Willetts, Prof Baroness Alison Wolf, @jesslister.bsky.social and @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

📅 Tues 6 October, 10:30–11:45
📍 Hall 10b, ICC, Birmingham
🎟️ Pass required

@caprosser.comOct 2, 2026, 3:20 PMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

Excited to help run the BES for the next 5-10 years, this time alongside @olliheath.bsky.social, @chanret.bsky.social, Kaat Smets, @profrosiecamp.bsky.social, @bobbyduffy.bsky.social, @maxfalken.bsky.social, and @profsob.bsky.social, @jack-bailey.co.uk, Alex Cernat, and @robfordmancs.bsky.social!

@policyatkings.bsky.socialSep 29, 2026, 2:33 PMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

What can today's government learn from the New Labour years?

Baroness Sally Morgan, @rentouljohn.bsky.social, @johnmct.bsky.social, Councillor Thomas Robinson & @jonmdavis.bsky.social are discussing at our next panel with @strandgroup.bsky.social #Lab26

📍Arena Room Wye, LEC

@policyatkings.bsky.socialSep 29, 2026, 8:26 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

We're kicking off our day of events at #Lab26!

Our first panel – "From workforce to careforce: delivering the NHS 10-year plan" – is with @kevinmckenna.co.uk, @pollytoynbee.bsky.social, and Profs Subodh Dave, Irene Higginson & Graham Lord

@kingshealth.bsky.social

📍Arena Room Wye, LEC

@policyatkings.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 11:28 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

NEW: The public significantly underestimate the likelihood of ever becoming an unpaid carer, guessing 38% of people in the UK ever will – far below the reality of 65%

Men underestimate the most, guessing 27% will, whereas Women guess 50%

➡️ www.kcl.ac.uk/news/public-...

🧵⬇️

@markpackuk.bsky.socialSep 26, 2026, 3:30 PMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

Lib Dems most liked by political rivals, study finds

@bunkerpod.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 4:03 PMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

🫆 “Murder is down about 20% since 2010… but 6 in 10 people think it’s the same or it’s gone up.”
🫆 How demagogues and human psychology have convinced Britain we’re in the middle of an imaginary crimewave.
🫆 With @misszing.bsky.social & Prof @bobbyduffy.bsky.social
🫆 Listen – linktr.ee/bunker_pod

@bunkerpod.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 9:58 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

🚨 NEW EPISODE 🚨 Is Britain really the crime-ridden hellhole the right says it is? Well… no, not really. Crime has largely fallen over the past decade – so why do people think it’s getting worse?

KCL professor @bobbyduffy.bsky.social and @misszing.bsky.social debunk the myths 🎧 linktr.ee/bunker_pod

@policyatkings.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 9:37 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

The phrase "London has fallen" can be found across social media, linked to posts that portray the city as lawless and crime-ridden yet are often no less fictional than the film of the same name, writes @bobbyduffy.bsky.social for @businessldn.bsky.social

➡️ www.businessldn.co.uk/news-publica...

@natcen.bsky.socialSep 15, 2026, 11:40 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

Thank you to everyone who joined us, both in person and online, for the 𝗦𝗶𝗿 𝗥𝗼𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗝𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗠𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗟𝗲𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲.

A special thank you to @bobbyduffy.bsky.social and Lovisa Möller Vallgårda.

If you were unable to join us, you can watch the recording here: natcen.ac.uk/events/sir-r...

@davidmair4.bsky.socialSep 13, 2026, 1:33 PMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

“The most influential factors were whether respondents felt that scientists are "on the side of people like them" and whether they thought of scientists as open and transparent. Both outweighed perceptions of scientific expertise.”

Imp for science for policy/evidence-informed policymaking.
#scipol

@policyatkings.bsky.socialSep 9, 2026, 12:03 PMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

🗓️ Tomorrow: Sir Roger Jowell Memorial Lecture 2026

Join @natcen.bsky.social & @bobbyduffy.bsky.social to challenge common assumptions about generational divides and explore what the evidence really tells us about how different generations think and behave.

➡️ natcen.ac.uk/events/sir-r...

@bobbyduffy.bsky.socialSep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM

Thanks David

@davidmair4.bsky.socialSep 8, 2026, 6:23 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

“Our perceptions of reality are more tied to emotional reactions and identity than a careful study of the statistics. We are partly sending signals about what’s worrying us.” Brilliant work from @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

@policyatkings.bsky.socialSep 7, 2026, 8:45 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

🚨 TOMORROW: The Fair Necessities: Why We Need a Fairer Britain

Join us, @fairness.bsky.social, Will Snell, @pollyneate.bsky.social, Will Hutton, Siobhan Aarons and @bobbyduffy.bsky.social to discuss why a fair society matters, and how we can make it happen

➡️ www.kcl.ac.uk/events/the-f...

@timbale.bsky.socialSep 4, 2026, 10:36 AMReposted by @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

Always presuming Reform are still intact by then, and that the Tories are still prepared (despite what they say) to touch them with the proverbial bargepole, this is fascinating stuff on who'd vote for who tactically from @bobbyduffy.bsky.social for @anandmenon.bsky.social's @ukandeu.bsky.social

Tactical voting: Reform’s allies and opponents at the polls
Reform are the party voters most want to block

Reform are the party people most want to prevent from winning in their constituency, named by two in five (41%) of the public, rising to a majority of Labour (63%), Green (77%) and Lib Dem (71%) supporters. Labour is the next most cited party, driven by half of Reform (52%) and Conservative (49%) supporters saying they'd vote tactically to keep them out.
Almost a third (29%) of the public say they would consider voting Conservative to block Reform in a close contest between the two parties – three times higher than the share who say they'd do the reverse (9%). But Labour and Green supporters would still be more likely to vote for their own party regardless.
Around half of Green (54%) and Lib Dem (46%) supporters say they would consider voting Labour to stop Reform – but Conservatives are more than twice as likely to say they'd choose Reform (33%) over Labour (14%), and likelier still to vote Conservative anyway (45%).

The Conservatives are Reform supporters' only real choice in a tactical vote

One in three (33%) Reform supporters say they’d consider voting Conservative – far ahead of all other parties, with Labour (7%) and Green (7%) the next most selected options.
Conservative supporters are the only group with a notable share willing to vote tactically for Reform (30%), against 8% of Labour, 5% of Green and 4% of Lib Dem supporters.
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