How did Europeans react to Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs? New registered report (forthcoming, JEPS): a UESD design using a Eurobarometer survey in the field when the tariffs hit. US favorability fell 2.9 pts No change in EU attachment No shift in support for retaliation or rules-based trade

Germany's Die Linke won last month's Berlin election on a pledge to socialize ~220k flats owned by large landlords. A thread on why housing expropriation is a successful campaign promise, how Berlin's flats became an asset class, and what expropriation would do. 🧵

Thank you Anton :)

I think it is both green politics being perceived as costly & the Greens not just being seen as the issue owner, but also too much of a single issue party. In a supplementary analysis I show that across most-important-issues, voters generally perceive the Greens less fit to address them post-shock.

Thank you Ruth, that is very kind!

Thank you, Stuart!

What do I find? Voters facing financial hardship consistently evaluate the Greens more negatively and shift their political attention toward inflation and economic growth, while deprioritizing climate protection.

Using panel data from Germany, I present a longterm correlational analysis of voters’ perceived personal economic conditions and Green party support. Additionally, I exploit the sudden price shock following the Russian invasion of Ukraine using a difference-in-differences design.

Looking forward to presenting joint work with @charlottekuberka.bsky.social on the political legacy effects of the 1984-85 UK Miners' Strike at the Conference of the DVPW Section Political Economy in Berlin this week