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Sinem Adar

@sinemadar.bsky.social

428 Following3.2k Followers

Head (CATS/SWPBerlin & CATS Network), Co-Head of the Autocratisation Thematic Group @SWP. Views personal. Writes in EN/TR

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@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 3:28 PM

Winning people’s hearts seems like an unattainable goal given the level of repression and coercion. Yet, the process of hollowing out the CHP, both as an institution and as a political symbol, has already begun.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 2:40 PM

Should of course be „turning yellow“.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 11:19 AMReposted by @sinemadar.bsky.social

With the Izmir Metropolitan Municipality now “turning red,” Erdoğan has secured a strategic victory in his long-standing struggle against secular republicans. This apparent victory may offset the turmoil caused by the stock market scandal in the short term.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 12:16 PM

Just stumbled upon this video in the other space: x.com/Akparti/stat...

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 11:31 AM

Nope..Please do share if you come across anything.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 11:19 AM

Yet, grievances and societal discontent sparked by the scandal are an entirely different matter and more difficult to contain in the medium to long term.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 11:19 AM

With the Izmir Metropolitan Municipality now “turning red,” Erdoğan has secured a strategic victory in his long-standing struggle against secular republicans. This apparent victory may offset the turmoil caused by the stock market scandal in the short term.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 4:44 PM

www.ekathimerini.com/opinion/1316...

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 4:44 PM

(such as those between Slav Macedonians and Bulgarians or Kosovars and Serbs). We must also “rediscover” the various population groups in the region with whom we have traditional ties, ranging from the Greek communities of the Black Sea to the Christians of the Middle East."

@sinemadar.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 4:44 PM

Interesting call for Greece's Davutoglu moment: "We need an outstanding network of embassies and diplomats who know well the countries of the Eastern Mediterranean, the Balkans, the Middle East, and the Black Sea region. We ought to take the initiative in intervening to resolve local problems

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 4:24 PM

Difficult not to given the scale and pace…

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 4:18 PM

What is happening in Turkey is nothing less than a war of attrition against dissidence (be it political parties, be it organised civil society, be it critical media, be it cultural sector).

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 5:14 AM

Our (with Isabelle Werenfells) edited volume on diaspora politics at a time of democratic backsliding and autocratisation is now out. I am particularly happy as it is - for me - the first edited volume experience in German :)

www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...

@swp-berlin.orgSep 29, 2026, 3:01 PMReposted by @sinemadar.bsky.social

Autoritäre Staaten instrumentalisieren ihre in Deutschland lebenden Bürger:innen für politische Ziele. Es geht um Machtsicherung, wirtschaftliche, regionale & globale Interessen sowie Nation Branding. Eine neue SWP-Studie analysiert diese Diaspora-Politiken: www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...

@swp-berlin.orgSep 29, 2026, 3:01 PMReposted by @sinemadar.bsky.social

Herausgeberinnen der Studie: Isabelle Werenfels und @sinemadar.bsky.social, mit Beiträgen von Carsten Schäfer, @gerritkurtz.bsky.social, David Kipp, Christian Wagner, @sabfis3.bsky.social

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 9:15 AM

One should also mention regime survival among factors that exacerbate the situation.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 9:11 AM

As wars drag on, their number increases, and as systemic rivalry becomes even more pronounced, Turkey’s so-called balancing efforts reach their limits. A narrow economic margin for manoeuvre&technological dependencies further exacerbate this situation. The result is less balancing, more alignment.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 7:09 AM

If I recall correctly, this should be the first time that Erdogan has mentioned antisemitism alongside the usual talking points, that is, Islamophobia and xenophobia. It is also noteworthy how he wove all these different strands together with an anti-gender touch.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 23, 2026, 7:48 PMReposted by @sinemadar.bsky.social

The agreement over Turkey's gradual handover of the base to Iraq is not a sudden incidence. The two countries signed an MoU already at the end of 2024, agreeing on the transformation of Bashiqa camp into a training camp under the full responsibility of Iraqi armed forces.

@sinemadar.bsky.socialSep 23, 2026, 7:49 PM

About the MoU from 2024 and recalibration of Turkish strategy in Iraq, see the following piece from my colleague @nebahattanriverdi.bsky.social

www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...

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