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Swinda Falkena

@swinda.bsky.social

351 Following592 Followers

Postdoctoral Researcher at LMD Paris (formerly Utrecht University) | Climate Scientist - Physicist - Mathematician | Tipping - Subpolar Gyre - Weather Regimes - Causality | Born in the year of Rio Earth Summit | Runner | she/her

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@nature.comOct 7, 2026, 3:52 PMReposted by @swinda.bsky.social

None of this year's science Nobel Prizes have gone to women.

The number of these prizes to go to women remains at 27 out of more than 600.

See how many you can name in our quiz: www.nature.com/immersive/d4...

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@rahmstorf.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 10:10 AMReposted by @swinda.bsky.social

A well-researched article from Politico on one of the major climate risks: the linked tipping points of the subpolar gyre #SPG and #AMOC in the Atlantic.
"There’s a substantial risk that it can happen within the coming 20 years,” says @swinda.bsky.social from Utrecht Uni about SPG collapse. 🌊 1/4

ZZia Weise@ziaweise.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 8:15 AM

A climate nightmare lurks in the Atlantic. Europe is starting to pay attention. Just out — my long read on European governments waking up to the threat of a possible collapse of the AMOC, the ocean currents that keep our continent's climate mild: www.politico.eu/article/clim...

politico.euA climate nightmare lurks in the Atlantic. Europe is starting to pay attention.A slowdown of ocean currents that would disrupt life on the continent on an unthinkable scale.
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@swinda.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 7:59 AM

The exact and regional impacts need further research, so I find it hard to say. Winters would likely get colder (or at least not much warmer) and stormier, and in summer cold SST in the gyre (in spring) has been linked to heat waves, so those could increase in likelihood as well.

@swinda.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 10:46 AM

What can we do? 1. Reduce emissions as fast as we can. 2. Monitor and "measure the shit out of the oceans". 3. Consider this scenario, AMOC and subpolar gyre, in risk assessments and adaptation planning.

@swinda.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 10:46 AM

Great piece on the AMOC, with attention for the subpolar gyre. While AMOC collapse would take multiple decades, potential changes in the subpolar gyre could occur over 10-15 years and start as early as 2040. The impact won't be as severe as for AMOC, but this near-future risk warrants attention.

ZZia Weise@ziaweise.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 8:15 AM

A climate nightmare lurks in the Atlantic. Europe is starting to pay attention. Just out — my long read on European governments waking up to the threat of a possible collapse of the AMOC, the ocean currents that keep our continent's climate mild: www.politico.eu/article/clim...

politico.euA climate nightmare lurks in the Atlantic. Europe is starting to pay attention.A slowdown of ocean currents that would disrupt life on the continent on an unthinkable scale.
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@ziaweise.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 8:15 AMReposted by @swinda.bsky.social

A climate nightmare lurks in the Atlantic. Europe is starting to pay attention.

Just out — my long read on European governments waking up to the threat of a possible collapse of the AMOC, the ocean currents that keep our continent's climate mild:

www.politico.eu/article/clim...

politico.euA climate nightmare lurks in the Atlantic. Europe is starting to pay attention.A slowdown of ocean currents that would disrupt life on the continent on an unthinkable scale.
@zekehausfather.comOct 5, 2026, 4:29 PMReposted by @swinda.bsky.social

I often see people argue that clean energy is not reducing emissions, because it just adds to rather than replaces fossil fuels. This argument is deeply misguided – clean energy built since 2005 has displaced 23 billion tons. I dive in over at The Climate Brink:

@rahmstorf.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 7:02 PMReposted by @swinda.bsky.social

Big Oil remains the most significant obstacle to reducing emissions and limiting climate harms. It’s important to understand the long history of that.

DDavis Allen@davisallen.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 6:22 PM

The climate crisis we face today wasn't inevitable, and we have the receipts.

The cover for a new report from the Center for Climate Integrity, "Climate Fraud 101: Big Oil's Climate Deception Explained in 101 Documents, 1957-2026"
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@rahmstorf.bsky.socialSep 15, 2026, 9:22 PMReposted by @swinda.bsky.social

Interesting new preprint by Susanna Winkelbauer et al. finds a weakening of #AMOC by ~ 20% over the past 3 decades (i.e. 1.23 ± 0.57 Sv per decade). egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...

egusphere.copernicus.orgAtlantic Meridional Heat Transports from Ocean Reanalyses, Monitored Sections and Heat Budget ConstraintsAbstract. Meridional ocean heat transport (MHT) plays a central role in the climate system by redistributing energy across latitudes and influencing global and regional climate variability. While sust...
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