@tonymcn64.bsky.social (@tonymcn64.bsky.social)

@philipjcowley.bsky.social Oct 8, 2026, 2:55 PMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

Just done the latest Long Division piece for @mattchorley.bsky.social's programme - an amendment to the Iron and Steel bill in 1953, illustrated by a bit of Gilbert and Sullivan from 1882. As Matt said, "you don't get that anywhere else, probably for good reason".

@philipjcowley.bsky.social Oct 6, 2026, 8:53 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

Latest piece for @thehousemag.bsky.social - on the Norway vote in 1940, drawing on a great piece just published in Parliamentary History.

www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

@mileendinstitute.bsky.social Oct 6, 2026, 12:36 PMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

Last night, @mileendinstitute.bsky.social co-hosted the first in a new series of lectures by @qmulsse.bsky.social's Professors of Practice.

In this special event hosted by @tomchidwick.bsky.social, Lord Clement-Jones explored how universities can shape, assess and showcase graduates for the future.

Peter Downs, Jaspreet Kaur and Lord Clement-Jones, SSE's first Professors of Practice, posing together for a photograph.

Lord Clement-Jones lecturing at Queen Mary University of London on Monday 5 October 2026.

Lord Clement-Jones in conversation with Tom Chidwick at Queen Mary University of London on Monday 5 October 2026.

@timbale.bsky.social Oct 6, 2026, 9:29 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

There's many a slip twixt cup and lip. Me on how once we move from the normative abstract to the nitty-gritty particular on electoral reform, there's plenty of opportunities for self-interest to take over. Fortunately, to borrow another maxim, The best-laid schemes o' mice an' men Gang aft agley!

@timbale.bsky.social Oct 2, 2026, 8:51 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

Sorry to be a (Conservative) party pooper, but

@tonymcn64.bsky.social Sep 28, 2026, 8:03 PM

@iandunt.bsky.social

Much - but not all - of what you said resonated with me (including the odd severe flashback) and I would welcome the opportunity to discuss further. Am a lecturer now at QMUL - hence my presence tonight. Regards Tony (2)

@tonymcn64.bsky.social Sep 28, 2026, 8:03 PM

@iandunt.bsky.social

Hi Ian,
Throughly enjoyed your gig at the Mile End Insitute tonight. I had a coffee with you beforehand with others but didn’t properly introduce myself. Tony McNulty - recovering politician, former MP and government minister. (1)

@philipjcowley.bsky.social Sep 24, 2026, 11:43 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

As niche academic arguments go, this one is very niche (but it is at least very short). A response article by me and young @timbl.bsky.social to a piece in Party Politics...

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

@timbale.bsky.social Sep 21, 2026, 7:41 PMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

My review of “Sunak at 10: The Last Conservative Prime Minister” (in this month’s Literary Review - highly recommend if you love books).

@marzmac.bsky.social Sep 14, 2026, 9:35 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

Politics is conceived as a market in which someone puts up the capital, someone distributes the benefits, and everyone must know which side of the transaction they are on.

My two cents on donations and democracy (in Italian).

appunti.substack.com/p/la-democra...

@tonymcn64.bsky.social Sep 12, 2026, 2:27 PM

Excellent summary of vote on assisted dying by excellent QMUL colleague @DanielGover
Why did MPs vote to reject the assisted dying bill – and what happens now?
theconversation.com/why-did-mps-...

@danielgover.bsky.social Sep 11, 2026, 4:06 PMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

After MPs voted against assisted dying legislation today, a new piece from me on the outcome:

'Why did MPs vote to reject the assisted dying bill – and what happens now?' @uk.theconversation.com

theconversation.com/why-did-mps-...

@timbale.bsky.social Sep 10, 2026, 1:46 PMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

I'm sure there's a pattern here but I'm damned if I can make it out.

How misperceptions divide along party lines
Reform UK supporters think half of London’s population is Muslim. Their median guess of 50% is notably higher than the equivalent figure for Conservatives (40%), who guess next-highest, and more than three times the reality of 15%.
Different parties’ supporters misperceive London's ethnic make-up in different ways. Green and Labour supporters most overestimate the White British share, guessing 50% against a reality of 37%, while Reform supporters most overestimate the Black and Asian populations, estimating each at 30% against realities of 14% and 21%.
On the crimes that have genuinely risen, it is supporters on the left who are most often wrong. Violence and sexual offences have both increased in London, even if rates of both are still among the lowest in the country, yet fewer than half of Labour and Green supporters recognise that either has gone up – compared with majorities of Reform and Conservative supporters.
Reform supporters have the most inflated view of the risk of crime in London, guessing that 40% of Londoners were victims of crime in a single year – more than three times the reality (12.2%) – and are most likely to wrongly think total crime has risen since 2019, with nine in 10 (87%) holding this misperception.
Reform supporters also most overestimate how unsafe Londoners feel, guessing that 70% do not feel safe walking alone after dark – 10 points above Conservatives (60%), the next-highest, and almost double the reality of 37%.

@danielgover.bsky.social Sep 10, 2026, 9:22 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

In 2015, MPs voted to reject the assisted dying bill, a private member's bill. Tomorrow, exactly 11 years later to the day, MPs expect to vote on a similar bill. In May I wrote that supporters faced 4 key challenges. They've cleared the 1st. Tomorrow they face the 2nd challenge.

@tonymcn64.bsky.social Sep 8, 2026, 9:23 AM

x.com/tony_mcnulty...

@timbale.bsky.social Sep 7, 2026, 1:30 PMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

My latest for @politicshome.bsky.social

@stijntvankessel.bsky.social Sep 4, 2026, 1:15 PMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

Some comments from me in this Radio France Internationale piece on the bonds between Jordan Bardella and Nigel Farage
www.rfi.fr/en/france/20...

@devolvedelections.bsky.social Sep 4, 2026, 8:19 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

I for one am shocked to hear that JL Partners are involved in this.

I just wish there had been warning signs and that someone had contacted the Telegraph about at the time. Or written about it in the Election Report.

www.electionanalysis.uk/scottish-ele...

@eoghanly.bsky.social Aug 27, 2026, 7:23 AMReposted by @tonymcn64.bsky.social

More from our latest @mileendinstitute.bsky.social poll:

Labour are stabilising under Burnham, but are still down from 2024 which will cost seats.

This includes a sneak peak at an upcoming projection from @devolvedelections.bsky.social

www.standard.co.uk/news/london/...