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Ian Hussey

@ianhussey.mmmdata.io

955 Following3.6k Followers

Meta-scientist and psychologist. Senior lecturer @unibe.ch‬. Chief recommender @error.reviews. "Jumped up punk who hasn't earned his stripes." All views a product of my learning history. If behaviorism did not exist, it would be necessary to invent it.

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@rmcelreath.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 6:49 AMReposted by @ianhussey.mmmdata.io

An extraordinary example of a paper that cannot logically address its estimand: effect of restricting under-18 playtime. But sample has no age data, and most of the sample is adults. Reviewer #3 even noted this, and authors agreed. See link in quoted for details.

You said: “It’s not clear from the text why the authors believe that the youth effect is
underestimated. If the youth population is about 6% of the sample, this means the first stage
effects of the policy change should affect the tails of the distribution. So any estimates of
effects on the full population which is primarily adults do not necessarily reflect what is
happening with the youth. Perhaps clarifying what is meant with “underestimated” is
sufficient, or perhaps the authors meant that the increases in adult utilization is
underestimated. As it stands, I think “underestimated” is incorrect because the youth effects
could be negative, positive, or neutral and we have no idea what the magnitude is.”
Our response: Your point is extremely well-taken: We have removed the offending text from the
manuscript (i.e. we have removed ‘Thus, the figures generated here will naturally underestimate
changes to the prevalence of heavy playtime amongst young people.’). This is in line with the more
general revision of language throughout the text to tend to be more conservative.
@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioOct 11, 2026, 6:24 PM

What’s the date that people celebrate the anniversary of the tweet about “with large enough samples you don’t need randomisation”?

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioOct 9, 2026, 11:00 AM

Our reflections on the recent "AI and Research Integrity" meeting in Montreal:

We are somewhat worried that many AI trustworthiness assessment tools are not trustworthy.

@lhdjung.bsky.social
@jamiecummins.bsky.social
trustworthy.scientific.claims/posts/trustw...

@floriannaudet.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 7:51 AMReposted by @ianhussey.mmmdata.io

🍫 or 💩? About the effect size reported in a trial that shaped the estimated effect of fluoxetine in meta-analyses of pediatric depression, my stellar co-author @ploederl.bsky.social says: “It’s the kind of effect size you only get if you ask people whether they prefer chocolate or faeces.” 👇👇👇

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 9:02 PM

Best I can do is half baked rediscoveries and misuses, final offer

@collabrapsychology.bsky.socialSep 29, 2026, 5:45 PMReposted by @ianhussey.mmmdata.io

A Systematic Literature Review of Causal Mediation Analysis in Social Psychology, from @jiwoo-kim.bsky.social and @felixthoemmes.bsky.social doi.org/10.1525/coll...

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 4:04 PM

Quite a lot in my experience, but I am unusual in this regard.

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 3:54 PM

100%. When I was in that world, I heard the term “functional analysis” thrown around daily by CBS folk, and never seen a single functional analysis performed or published. Iwata, Skinner etc would have things to say.

@dingdingpeng.the100.ciSep 14, 2026, 7:16 AMReposted by @ianhussey.mmmdata.io

Did you know that there’s only a single letter separating an “idionomic clinical workflow” from an “idiotnomic clinical workflow”?

I haven’t managed to write my screed about cluster analysis yet, here’s another blog post in the meantime:
www.the100.ci/2024/10/28/i...

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 11:31 AM

Eg from two years ago by @dingdingpeng.the100.ci : www.the100.ci/2024/10/28/i...

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 11:17 AM

So, again, but in public this time: the idionomic approach folk would greatly benefit from engaging the literature on these approaches to reduce research waste, avoid rediscovering the wheel (but worse), etc.

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 11:17 AM

As for the 'but worse' bit - my recollection is that none of the effects reported in that paper would survive multiple testing corrections, which arguably should have been applied.

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 11:17 AM

Rediscovery work happened as predicted, with papers like "Beyond the average: Idionomic evidence of individual-specific variability in the psychological flexibility-mood relationship" coming out in 2026. Which was, to be clear, just EMA+multilevel models.
doi.org/10.1016/j.jc...

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 11:17 AM

Another round of discussions around the same time happened with @jamiecummins.bsky.social, who pointed out they were in other ways grasping for out-of-sample prediction models; they were again uninterested as a bespoke CBS solution was 'needed'.

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 11:17 AM

Around 2019 I spoke to several folk in the ACT community about how their interest in so-called idionomic analyses was just rediscovering EMA studies, multilevel models and temporal network analysis. No one was interested - they implication was that they 'needed' a bespoke CBS branded approach.

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 29, 2026, 11:00 AM

Hayes has been banging this drum about idionomic analyses for 6+ years, with folk like @jamiecummins.bsky.social pointing out that its reinventing-the-wheel-but-worse for just as long.

My experience is that the ACT community is insufficiently interested and aware of existing methods+stats work.

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 28, 2026, 9:37 PM

Or “are we even sure humans can do X”, see those non replicable cognitive dissonance studies, implicit attitudes, etc.

@jamiecummins.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 9:26 PMReposted by @ianhussey.mmmdata.io

My lukewarm take is that when people disagree about whether LLMs can do X (be it reasoning, creativity, etc), the substantive disagreement is really about what X means, rather than about LLMs themselves. Aka Wittgenstein was right

@ploederl.bsky.socialSep 12, 2026, 9:44 AMReposted by @ianhussey.mmmdata.io

This ketamine study on bipolar depression reported substantial effects. Interestingly, the primary outcome was changed from 2w to 4w after start of recruitment, and one secondary outcome (MADRS suic item) was withdrawn. Unfortunately, no access to PDF
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

@ianhussey.mmmdata.ioSep 28, 2026, 6:17 PM

Germany has cancelled funding for the German Cochrane Foundation.

Bad news all around. Cochrane’s benefit to cost ratio is huge.

@cochrane.org

www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/wark...

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