Data for Progress

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Equipping the progressive movement with the data and insights it needs to win.

dataforprogress.org

@dataforprogress.org

About 3 in 4 voters in Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio think AI will increase billionaires’ wealth. But only about 1 in 5 think it will do the same for American workers.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters in Key States Believe AI Will Increase the Wealth of Billionaires, But Not American Workers. Description: How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following? — AI will increase the wealth of... Billionaires — Agree: 79%, Disagree: 8% American workers — Agree: 21%, Disagree: 64% Billionaires — Agree: 76%, Disagree: 10% American workers — Agree: 21%, Disagree: 62% Billionaires — Agree: 75%, Disagree: 10% American workers — Agree: 23%, Disagree: 61% September 4–14, 2026 survey of 3,157 likely voters in IA, MI, and OH.
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NEW POLL with Guardrails Action: Voters in Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio say they are less likely to vote for a candidate who takes money from AI companies. On net, that penalty is larger than the penalty for voting to cut billions from Medicaid.

Crosstab chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters in Key States Are Less Likely to Vote for a Candidate Who Takes AI Super PAC Money. Description: Below are actions that a potential candidate for office might take. For each, please say if the action would make you more or less likely to vote for that candidate. A candidate who receives funding for their campaign from Super PACs funded by AI companies or their executives — IA: 74%, MI: 73%, OH: 73% A candidate who voted to cut billions in funding to Medicaid — IA: 71%, MI: 71%, OH: 73% A candidate who supports a nationwide abortion ban, without exceptions for rape, incest, or the life of the mother — IA: 64%, MI: 66%, OH: 66% A candidate who supports key parts of Trump's agenda, including helping Trump enrich himself off corrupt crypto schemes while in office — IA: 64%, MI: 66%, OH: 65% September 4–14, 2026 survey of 3,157 likely voters in IA, MI, and OH.
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Voters overwhelmingly agree (76%) on a path to citizenship for immigrants who are authorized to work in the United States for over five years, have been paying taxes, have passed security checks, and who have no criminal record.

Bar chart of polling data from Data for Progress. Title: Voters Overwhelmingly Believe Immigrants Should Be Allowed to Access a Path Toward Citizenship Under Certain Conditions. Question: If an immigrant has been authorized to work and live in the U.S. for over 5 years, has paid taxes, has passed U.S. government security background checks, and has no criminal record, should they be allowed to access a path to permanent status and then citizenship? Results (should be allowed / don't know / should not be allowed): All likely voters: 76% / 7% / 18%. Democrats: 85% / 6% / 9%. Independents/third party: 75% / 7% / 18%. Republicans: 65% / 8% / 27%. Know a refugee: 83% / 1% / 16%. Don't know a refugee: 76% / 6% / 18%. September 18–20, 2026 survey of 1,194 U.S. likely voters.
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Voters also oppose current U.S. immigration enforcement policies: - 61% oppose ICE arresting immigrants at schools, churches, and hospitals - 68% agree the U.S. should not deport asylum seekers without hearings - 60% oppose third-country deportations

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Majority of Likely Voters Oppose Deporting Immigrants to Countries Other Than Their Country of Origin. Description: Currently, the U.S. government is deporting thousands of immigrants – including people legally granted protection in the United States – to countries other than their country of origin, including countries they have never been to. For instance, the U.S. has deported an immigrant from Cuba to South Sudan and an Afghan asylum seeker to the Central African Republic. Do you support or oppose this practice? All likely voters — Support: 31%, Oppose: 60% Democrat — Support: 16%, Oppose: 76% Independent / Third party — Support: 30%, Oppose: 62% Republican — Support: 48%, Oppose: 41% Yes, I know someone who is a refugee — Support: 35%, Oppose: 62% No, I do not know someone who is a refugee — Support: 32%, Oppose: 60% September 18–20, 2026 survey of 1,194 U.S. likely voters.
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In 1995, 88% of Americans said that they had entertained others in their home in the past year. In 2026, just 67% of Americans have done so — a 21-point decline. Church attendance has dropped by 20 points, and picnics and club meetings have dropped by 19 points.

Chart from Data for Progress showing changes in Americans' social activity from 1995 to 2026. The chart compares data from 1995 from the DDB Needham Life Style Surveys and a 2026 survey from Data for Progress. The polling finds that the percentage of Americans saying they have "entertained people in my home" in the past year has declined from 88% to 67% from 1995 to 2026.
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Our new polling finds that Americans have significantly reduced their participation in social activities over the last 30 years. There have been double-digit declines in Americans entertaining people in their homes, going to club meetings, and doing volunteer work since 1995.

Chart from Data for Progress showing changes in Americans' social activity from 1995 to 2026. The chart compares data from 1995 from the DDB Needham Life Style Surveys and a 2026 survey from Data for Progress. The polling finds major declines in Americans' participation in social activities. For example, the percentage of Americans saying they have "entertained people in my home" in the past year has declined from 88% to 67% from 1995 to 2026.
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Unfavorable attitudes toward Flock cameras carry across party lines. After reading a brief description of Flock cameras, voters, including Republicans, have a negative view of the technology. Those views hold even after reading arguments supporting and opposing the cameras.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Negative Views of Flock Cameras Hold After Exposure to Support and Opposition Arguments. Description: Supporters of Flock cameras argue that these cameras have been effective at tracking the movement of criminals across jurisdictions, which has improved public safety and solved thousands of crimes, including car thefts and kidnappings. Opponents of Flock cameras argue that these cameras are a severe invasion of privacy and cite dozens of cases in which police officers have used the data to track the movement of innocent Americans, such as their current or former girlfriends. Knowing what you know now, do you have a mostly positive or mostly negative view of Flock cameras? All likely voters — Positive: 33%, Negative: 60% Democrat — Positive: 23%, Negative: 68% Independent / Third party — Positive: 28%, Negative: 64% Republican — Positive: 46%, Negative: 48% September 18–20, 2026 survey of 1,194 U.S. likely voters.
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Our polling finds that among self-identified moderates, a majority say billionaires are a sign of a dysfunctional economy. And while a majority of 2026 swing voters identify as moderate, they’re more interested in raising taxes on the wealthy than conservative cultural stances.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Swing Voters Say Raising Taxes on the Wealthy Would Move Their Vote to Democrats. Description: Which of these policies would make you definitely vote for a Democratic candidate in an upcoming election? Please select up to three options. Raise taxes on the wealthy — 28% Create a Medicare for All health care system — 24% Ban artificial intelligence from setting prices or wages based on personal data — 21% Restrict private utility companies from passing unreasonable costs on to customers — 20% Raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour — 19% Stop providing military aid and weapons to Israel — 17% Increase border security — 17% ​​Nothing would make me definitely vote for a Democratic candidate — 16% Invest in building new affordable housing — 13% Increase oil and gas drilling — 12% May 15–June 21, 2026 surveys with 447 respondent interviews of U.S. swing voters.
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