Verasight

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"When legislators vote against their party... their constituents are very unlikely to guess that. They become worse than chance at guessing how their member voted on a roll call vote. When their member voted with their party, then people are pretty good at guessing how their member voted."

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Verasight provided the poll's online panel (N=223), used to supplement responses from voters ages 18 to 29 and Hispanic voters. The survey of 810 likely voters combined that panel with a statewide random sample of registered voters who completed it by text (N=587).

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The new ECU Poll from the @eastcarolinauniv.bsky.social Center for Survey Research finds Roy Cooper (D) leading Michael Whatley (R) 50% to 43% in North Carolina's 2026 U.S. Senate race, with 6% undecided. A majority of likely voters (55%) name the economy and cost of living as their top issue.

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"You have these political elites in Washington say, well, voters are too stupid. They like things the way they are. And in fact... this poll shows it again, people actually really don't like the way things are. People are really hungry for shaking things up and doing something different."

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He also discussed Verasight's policy against wagering on prediction markets: "There needs to be a real wall between pollsters and prediction markets."

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Asked whether lower gas prices could shift the midterms, Leff said: "I don’t think people necessarily put much weight on what the president says, but if they truly feel gas prices drop, that would drive them more than just being told they would."

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Verasight CEO Ben Leff was interviewed for a new story from @benzinga.bsky.social: "EXCLUSIVE: Too Late for Trump to Save the Midterms? Even Iran Deal, Lower Gas Prices Unlikely to Spark Major Swing, Verasight CEO Says."

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Republicans are the most supportive when the money goes to residents directly: 80% favor the data center if the money is used to lower residents' electricity bills and 78% if it is paid directly to residents, compared with 28% if the money goes to the local government with no strings attached.

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55% favor it for a $50,000 bonus for all public school teachers, 53% if it is paid to local police and fire departments, and 26% if it is paid to the local government to use however they wish.

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70% favor the data center if the money is used to lower residents' electricity bills and 66% if it is paid directly to residents, about $5,000 per household.

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Now suppose the company building that data center agreed to invest about $100 million in the community over ten years. Support depends on how the money is used:

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Without a community investment, most Americans (78%) oppose a large data center being built within 10 miles of their home, including 53% who strongly oppose it. The opposition is bipartisan: 88% of Democrats and 67% of Republicans.

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What makes Americans most likely to support a data center in their community? In our latest survey, we proposed several scenarios to respondents:

Chart: Republicans are the most supportive when the money goes to residents directly. Share who favor a nearby data center, by party, for each use of a $100 million investment. Lower electricity bills: 64% Democrats, 61% independents, 80% Republicans. $5,000 per household: 56%, 62%, 78%. Local government with no strings: 27%, 19%, 28%.
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