@chanret.bsky.social
I teach politics at a university in the UK. I'm interested in electoral systems, public opinion, and the politics of non-majoritarian institutions like courts and regulators. ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405
@chanret.bsky.socialThat's interesting to know -- and useful to know about the Cape
@chanret.bsky.socialBasically I want to sit out a big crash and move back into shares in two years. If there's no big crash in two years, I'm happy forgoing better return
@chanret.bsky.socialIs it time to sell all the shares in my ISA and buy gilts with the proceeds? Asking for me.
@markpackuk.bsky.socialReposted by @chanret.bsky.socialLatest PollBase is out, with all the British voting intention polls since the 1930s
@chanret.bsky.socialWhat is the principle involved?
@jbakcoleman.bsky.socialReposted by @chanret.bsky.socialNew blog post from me that is a bit of a doozy. It takes an evolutionary biology look at Recursive Self Improvement.
In the spirit of a blog post, its got toy models, a coda with something I'd totally missed before writing it, etc...
@chanret.bsky.socialSurprisingly, one source of literary inspiration for Forrest Gump turns out to be Doris Lessing, in her 1973 The Summer Before The Dark
@caprosser.comReposted by @chanret.bsky.social🚨Job alert! 🚨
Come work with us on the British Election Study!
We are looking for a postdoc to join the new BES team: 5 year contract, starting in Jan 2027.
Happy to chat if you've got any questions.
Applications close 12 Nov, for details see: jobs.royalholloway.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx...
@joenoonan.seReposted by @chanret.bsky.socialHow did Europeans react to Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs? New registered report (forthcoming, JEPS): a UESD design using a Eurobarometer survey in the field when the tariffs hit. US favorability fell 2.9 pts No change in EU attachment No shift in support for retaliation or rules-based trade
@chanret.bsky.socialThis * 100
@chanret.bsky.socialHaving seen this movie on its UK release: nip this in the bud unless you want to carry the can for a poor economy with low graduate recruitment
@dralbertazziuk.bsky.socialReposted by @chanret.bsky.socialSo, is the next Italian election going to be fought under a different electoral system now that Meloni has managed to see her proposed reform approved by Parliament? Possibly.
@peterla.bsky.socialReposted by @chanret.bsky.socialNew WP with brilliant co-author @jacobnyrup.bsky.social! Which governments are most representative? We match the backgrounds of tens of thousands of cabinet ministers to population data in 136 countries (1991-2021) and measure the representation gap on gender, age, education, class and geography.
@chanret.bsky.socialOne of the OpenAI maths preprints dumped hours ago could be relevant for political scientists: it claims to allow uniform sampling of matrices with arbitrary integer row and column sums - useful for ecological inference github.com/openai/math/...
@chanret.bsky.socialHold on, is this where I set you up to plug your own book?
@chanret.bsky.social@chanret.bsky.socialVery difficult to thread the needle between "this survey is incomprehensible to anyone without a politics degree" and "this finding tells us people like good stuff and dislike bad stuff"
@chanret.bsky.social"How voters evaluate the proportionality-concentration tradeoff" www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... <- people like proportionality less if you tell them there won't be a clear majority
@medzihorsky.bsky.socialReposted by @chanret.bsky.socialNew political compass just dropped.
@chanret.bsky.socialGoing to see Bill Callahan tonight; excited to stare into the mirror of my middle age