Josh Gabbatiss

@joshgabbatiss.bsky.social

Associate editor at Carbon Brief 🐸 [email protected] ✉️

@70sbachchan.bsky.socialReposted by @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social

"A national election, that of Brazil, which will affect the 8.3 billion people who inhabit this world.

The Amazon, according to scientific evidence, is close to reaching a point of no return. Returning to the deforestation levels of 2022 (Bolsonaro) would be the final blow"
x.com/ActisAndres/...

@joshgabbatiss.bsky.social

Thanks to Lula's 2022 victory, our analysis suggests at least 20,000km2 of Amazon has remained standing. That's an area the size of New Jersey or Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 This is based on an alternate scenario in which Jair Bolsonaro – Flávio's imprisoned father – had won and continued to encourage deforestation.

@joshgabbatiss.bsky.social

The last 4 years have seen a real environmental success story in Brazil 🇧🇷 Amazon deforestation has plummeted since Lula became president and is likely to reach its lowest level on record in 2026 Brazil goes to the polls on Sunday and Lula will face off against far-right challenger Flávio Bolsonaro

@ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.orgReposted by @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social

NEW for @carbonbrief.org

As El Niño intensifies, the forest fires ripping through Indonesia are on track to reach levels not seen since 2015.

The country's 2015 fire season has been linked to 100,000 premature deaths and produced emissions on a par with the EU's fossil-fuel emissions that year.

Line chart showing cumulative daily fire emissions in Indonesia. The 2026 trajectory, highlighted in red, rises sharply to around 75MtC and is closely tracking the early path of 2015, shown in dark blue. In 2015, emissions later surged to about 330MtC, far above the 2000–26 average of roughly 85MtC. Other years are shown in light grey. Source: Global Fire Emissions Database.
@joshgabbatiss.bsky.social

I find this stuff remarkable. This is in response to a story about record numbers of ambulance callouts for "life-threatening" emergencies during the June heatwave. Real, tangible evidence that extreme heat is contributing to people dying or nearly dying in the UK. But it's still a "scare story"

A commenter writes: So according to the headline 4 days of high thirties C weather is an extreme heatwave. Goodness knows how the citizens of the UAE manage to not only survive but proper in much hotter weather. Climate change scare stories are really tedious and best left to the BBC and Met Office
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