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Expected Own Goals

@xowngoals.com

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@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 8:39 PM

*Quality Chance — a non-penalty shot with an xG value of 0.15 or higher

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 8:39 PM

Game state and bad luck were the story here, as the #USWNT dropped the first of two games against Spain, this one at Audi Field in DC.

Score: 0 - 2
Non-penalty xG: 1.5 - 0.4
Non-penalty xG per Shot: 0.13 - 0.07
Quality Chances*: 4 - 0
Touches in the Box: 37 - 14
Field Tilt: 50 - 50

#USAvESP

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 8:38 PM

Other than the two early goals, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the match?

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 7:32 PM

More back-and-forth than one might've expected, but that makes the second half even more finely poised, as they say.

#USWNT | #USAvESP

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 7:05 PM

There’s a totally wild third option too — you start neither of them!

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 7:02 PM

Emma Hayes has always struggled with Barcelona…

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 6:53 PM

Soooo this could be going better…

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 5:47 PM

@xowngoals.comOct 10, 2026, 5:38 PM

YOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOHANNES …A midfield with no defense… against Spain… LFG??? LFG!!!

@jasondcsoccer.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 3:26 PMReposted by @xowngoals.com

This was a very fun chat expanding on the specific details of the Spirit's recent unimpressive results, parsing the real problems from the bad bounces. If you tolerate this account or the many thousands of words Green Line Soccer articles tend to be, this is 100% for you (as is xOG in general)

@xowngoals.comOct 9, 2026, 2:57 PM

The Washington Spirit are 4-5-1 over their last 10 games — not the Shield favorites many thought they’d be. What is going on? Can it be fixed before the playoffs? @jasondcsoccer.bsky.social of ⁠Green Line Soccer⁠ joins us to discuss. Consider this our attempt to sage Audi Field.

@kierdoyle.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 8:22 PMReposted by @xowngoals.com

Plus I get to say I’m a cultured #10 or deep lying playmaker.

@americansocceranalysis.comOct 8, 2026, 8:20 PMReposted by @xowngoals.com

Want to support the best women’s soccer podcast we know?

Check out the @xowngoals.com Patreon: www.patreon.com/xOwnGoals/po...

They’ve got a new tier and lots of extra content there. Plus we love them.

@xowngoals.comOct 8, 2026, 6:46 PM

Left winger that just looks like a defender 'cause she plays for Louisville lol

@evandavissports.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 5:16 PMReposted by @xowngoals.com

Now that we've got the full TED LASSO season 4 experience, please dig into my full set of recaps for @deciderdotcom.bsky.social.

@xowngoals.comOct 6, 2026, 7:39 PM

Curious about how the #NWSL playoff picture stacks up to previous years? Here is what the playoff line would have been for each year since 2021 if 30 games had been played!

Season	30-game-equivalent playoff line
2013	
2014	
2015	
2016	
2017	
2018	
2019	
2021	41
2022	45
2023	42
	
2024	37
2025	41
2026 (projected)	47
@xowngoals.comOct 4, 2026, 1:30 AM

Sophia Wilson now holds the honor as the only #NWSL forward across the last six seasons to be shown multiple red cards. [insert OptaJoe adjective here]

@xowngoals.comOct 4, 2026, 1:28 AM

Yup! It was maddening. Sophia Wilson and Debinha would have been joint winners if only non-penalty goals were counted, at 11 apiece.

@xowngoals.comOct 3, 2026, 11:05 PM

Probably the only scenario where a shot on the line could have less than a 0.80 xG value lol

#NWSL | #KCvBAY | #KCBABY

@xowngoals.comOct 3, 2026, 8:51 PM

Utah’s results since 7/25 WLWLWLWLWLW… down 1-0 at HT to Racing Louisville

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