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Darren Dahly

@statsepi.bsky.social

2.6k Following13.7k Followers

Epidemiologist + Statistician | Clinical Research Facility - University College Cork | UCC School of Public Health | #ClinicalTrials #Epidemiology #Statistics #RStats
Posts not for everyone ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Views mine -> https://statsepi.substack.com/

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@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 6:27 PM

😉

@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 6:01 PM

oh

@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 5:31 PM

The ratio of students who say they want more "face to face" time to those who show up for said "face to face" time approaches infinity.

@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 5:23 PM

I'm going to go ahead and not get mad about the thing that was written in order to make me mad. I encourage others to join me. Resist punditry! Resist discourse! 😜

@rssannualconf.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 2:55 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

Have an idea for a session or workshop for @royalstatsoc.bsky.social international conference in 2027? The call for proposals is now live with a deadline of 20 November. Submissions can be on any topic related to statistics & data science, and innovative formats welcomed. rss.org.uk/news-publica...

@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 7:51 AM

bsky.app/profile/stat...

@samanthaasumadu.substack.comOct 11, 2026, 10:46 AMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

Christian nationalism in Britain driven by people who seldom go to church, says report
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o...

@lakens.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 1:26 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

In preparation for a discussion with the lab on AI use tomorrow morning, I thought I would come prepared and write down my thoughts in a blog post: How I use AI in my work

daniellakens.blogspot.com/2026/10/how-...

@wolverinebear.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 12:07 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

It is a bad day to be running a Republican political campaign: Ukraine's drone strikes on Russian data centers are sending millions of suspected Russian social media bot accounts offline.

#democracy #elections #RussianBotFarms #Ukraine #SlavaUkraini #NAFO #Fellas #Blues

@jakemgrumbach.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 9:32 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

Piece came out at USAToday

Why? Because USAToday owners (Gannett) only own media companies, so they have an incentive to attract an audience & advertisers

Tech elites like Bezos, Ellisons, Musk, & Benioff use their media firm to cozy to Trump, not to make profit

www.usatoday.com/story/opinio...

@juliaraifman.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 4:29 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

“California billionaires saw their net worth rise roughly 25%, or $432 billion, in <2 years

Gains were especially pronounced for 22 CA billionaires who’ve publicly opposed the one-time, 5% wealth tax; they saw their net worth rise nearly 65%, or $280 billion”

@sacbee.com @bpaviour.bsky.social

@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 3:46 PM

Dont forget observational studies with external transportability problems.

@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 12:45 PM

🎯

bsky.app/profile/stat...

@abeba.blacksky.appOct 10, 2026, 9:34 AMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

the latest anthropic cry abt "cruelty" & "abuse" of ai is truly stupid. i beg journalists to stop parroting amodei

we wrote why dehumanisation of ai is impossible & 6+ yrs later, everything in this paper holds

Robot Rights? Let’s Talk about Human Welfare Instead dl.acm.org/doi/pdf/10.1...

Yet we disagree robots should be treated as ‘slaves’. In defense
of her position, Bryson states: “But surely dehumanization is only
wrong when it’s applied to someone who really is human?” Our
position would be that ‘dehumanization’ is not so much wrong
for robots, it is impossible. One cannot dehumanize something
that wasn’t human to begin with. If one uses the term slave, one
implicitly assumes that the being one so names is the kind of being
can be ‘dehumanized’. One has already implicitly ‘humanized’ the
robot, before subsequently enslaving it. One should obviously not
enslave someone first taken to be human.
@jakemgrumbach.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 4:54 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment.

www.nber.org/papers/w35854

Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…
148
@joenoonan.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 6:22 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

Nobel Peace Prize goes to South African lawyer who oversaw UN report that found Israel committed genocide in Gaza.

@darach.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 5:24 PMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

An important difference between next week’s proposed strike and the diesel dads is that unions have democratically accountable leadership, countable members, transparent processes and give plenty of notice before taking a measure like this. Unions are rural Ireland too!

@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 1:11 PM

I'm am losing my fucking mind.

@davidho.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 6:31 AMReposted by @statsepi.bsky.social

Lol. Princeton University praised Nobel laureate Anne Carson, a former classics professor at the school, on social media, despite denying her tenure in the 1980s.

nytimes.comPrinceton Celebrates Anne Carson, a Nobel Prize Winner Who Was Denied Tenure (Gift Article)Carson, who was awarded the Literature prize on Thursday, was denied tenure when teaching at the university in the 1980s, leading social media users to mock a congratulatory message.
14
@statsepi.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 9:03 AM

Not cheesy!

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