Epidemiologist/mathematician. Professor at London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. Author of The Rules of Contagion and The Perfect Bet. Views own.
New book Proof: The Uncertain Science of Certainty available now: proof.kucharski.io

@adamjkucharski.bsky.social
Epidemiologist/mathematician. Professor at London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. Author of The Rules of Contagion and The Perfect Bet. Views own.
New book Proof: The Uncertain Science of Certainty available now: proof.kucharski.io
Yawn. Much quicker to check forms that fill them out
If you travel a lot and you're not using some form of AI to sort out all your expense receipts, you're missing a trick...
Please don't get your rubbish AI agent to send AI written emails with AI critiques of papers to PhD students, especially if the conclusion is that it's basically all fine. You're just creating nuisance at scale for the people actually out there doing the hard work.
Finished Proof by @adamjkucharski.bsky.social , would recommend! ”A simplistic view of scientific evidence risks a path of too much faith followed by too much disillusionment” is well put.
Glad you liked it!
I've definitely submitted without an endorsement before (maybe it carried over a med/biorxiv affiliation...)
Little rabbit holes I end up at thanks to @adamjkucharski.bsky.social
Rather than being a great democratiser, AI is currently forcing organisations to put up more gates and barriers to keep out the low quality avalanche.
I suspect we’ll increasing see a return to “you can only submit if you know an insider” systems, like the old-school PNAS ‘contributed’ track. It’s a bit like we’re already seeing with the new ArXiv ‘endorsement’ system...
All this (even for a different dementia), most especially the bit about not realising stories are stories for a while. 4 is especially hard. Health/social care people are hardwired to resist reducing freedoms, advocating for patient liberty. To fall, wander, and freeze. It is so hard to be hard.
Alzheimer’s isn’t like you imagine:
And why let doomsday stop you having some fun...
OF COURSE space travel was raised as a plan B...
Better make the most of October folks…
(Published in Science in 1960: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...)
Interesting article. It shows LLM cannot discover causal relationships purely based on the data without experts’ input.
Tech bros who say they want to ‘solve AI alignment’ would do well to look to history - aligning systems with human values is not just a matter of imposing more logic and mathematical reasoning: kucharski.substack.com/p/solving-ma...
What can AI attempts to do causal inference tell us about the value of domain insights vs scale of raw data?
Read more in my new post: kucharski.substack.com/p/confounded...
Can language models reason their way to effective causal inference? New post: kucharski.substack.com/p/confounded...
How much did heat and altitude affect World Cup scoring rates?
And is this even a sensible question to ask?
New post: kucharski.substack.com/p/how-much-d...