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@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 5:14 PM

No. 5 on the day — October 5, 2026

Richie Palacios (TB) — +41.8.

His biggest swing was a single in the 5th against NYY — worth +11.2 points of win probability at 1.90x leverage.

+10.5 win probability · +31.3 process

#MLB #Rays #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 5, 2026. Richie Palacios, TB hitter, +41.8 DAWG points (+10.5 win probability, +31.3 process). 4 PA, 0 HR, 0 BB, .500 OPS. His biggest swing was a single in the 5th against NYY — worth +11.2 points of win probability at 1.90x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 5 pitches after pitch 5; 3 two-strike foul-offs; 2 chased and made contact; 2 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 5:14 PM

No. 4 on the day — October 5, 2026

Ian Seymour (TB) — +44.7.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 6th against NYY — worth +1.0 points of win probability at 0.41x leverage.

+15.8 win probability · +28.9 process

#MLB #Rays #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 5, 2026. Ian Seymour, TB pitcher, +44.7 DAWG points (+15.8 win probability, +28.9 process). 3.0 IP, 4 K, 0 BB, 3.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 6th against NYY — worth +1.0 points of win probability at 0.41x leverage. How he earned it: 11 pitches inside, same hand; 4 first-pitch strikes; 4 put-away strikeouts.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 5:14 PM

No. 3 on the day — October 5, 2026

Yandy Díaz (TB) — +46.6.

His biggest swing was a walk in the 2nd against NYY — worth +1.0 points of win probability at 1.38x leverage.

+6.7 win probability · +39.9 process

#MLB #Rays #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 5, 2026. Yandy Díaz, TB hitter, +46.6 DAWG points (+6.7 win probability, +39.9 process). 5 PA, 0 HR, 1 BB, .650 OPS. His biggest swing was a walk in the 2nd against NYY — worth +1.0 points of win probability at 1.38x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 5 pitches after pitch 5; 3 two-strike foul-offs; 4 chased and made contact; 4 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 5:14 PM

No. 2 on the day — October 5, 2026

Gavin Williams (CLE) — +49.6.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 4th against CWS — worth +6.5 points of win probability at 1.60x leverage.

+21.8 win probability · +27.8 process

#MLB #Guardians #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 5, 2026. Gavin Williams, CLE pitcher, +49.6 DAWG points (+21.8 win probability, +27.8 process). 5.0 IP, 11 K, 3 BB, 1.80 RA9. His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 4th against CWS — worth +6.5 points of win probability at 1.60x leverage. How he earned it: 21 strikes with men on; 2 pitches inside, same hand; 15 first-pitch strikes; 11 put-away strikeouts; −3 walks allowed.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 5:14 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — October 5, 2026

Junior Caminero (TB) — +68.8 DAWG points.

His biggest swing was a force out in the 1st against NYY — worth +2.6 points of win probability at 1.91x leverage.

+41.0 win probability · +27.9 process

#MLB #Rays #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 5, 2026. Junior Caminero, TB hitter, +68.8 DAWG points (+41.0 win probability, +27.9 process). 4 PA, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1.250 OPS. His biggest swing was a force out in the 1st against NYY — worth +2.6 points of win probability at 1.91x leverage. How he earned it: 2 pitches after pitch 5; 3 two-strike foul-offs; 5 chased and made contact; 3 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 3:51 PM

No. 5 on the day — October 3, 2026

Gerrit Cole (NYY) — +56.5.

His biggest moment was a field out in the 1st against TB — worth +4.4 points of win probability at 1.97x leverage.

+24.4 win probability · +32.1 process

#MLB #Yankees #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 3, 2026. Gerrit Cole, NYY pitcher, +56.5 DAWG points (+24.4 win probability, +32.1 process). 5.0 IP, 5 K, 1 BB, 1.80 RA9. His biggest moment was a field out in the 1st against TB — worth +4.4 points of win probability at 1.97x leverage. How he earned it: 1 jams escaped; 16 strikes with men on; 6 pitches inside, same hand; 18 first-pitch strikes; 5 put-away strikeouts.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 3:51 PM

No. 4 on the day — October 3, 2026

Aaron Ashby (MIL) — +57.3.

His biggest moment was a field out in the 5th against SD — worth +5.9 points of win probability at 2.20x leverage.

+23.1 win probability · +34.2 process

#MLB #Brewers #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 3, 2026. Aaron Ashby, MIL pitcher, +57.3 DAWG points (+23.1 win probability, +34.2 process). 1.2 IP, 1 K, 0 BB, 0.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a field out in the 5th against SD — worth +5.9 points of win probability at 2.20x leverage. How he earned it: 1 jams escaped; 2 strikes with men on; 7 pitches inside, same hand; 4 first-pitch strikes; 1 put-away strikeouts.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 3:51 PM

No. 3 on the day — October 3, 2026

Junior Caminero (TB) — +62.8.

His biggest swing was a strikeout in the 5th against NYY — worth -1.1 points of win probability at 0.55x leverage.

+3.8 win probability · +59.0 process

#MLB #Rays #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 3, 2026. Junior Caminero, TB hitter, +62.8 DAWG points (+3.8 win probability, +59.0 process). 4 PA, 0 HR, 2 BB, .500 OPS. His biggest swing was a strikeout in the 5th against NYY — worth -1.1 points of win probability at 0.55x leverage. How he earned it: 2 reached after two strikes; 10 pitches after pitch 5; 7 two-strike foul-offs; 1 chased and made contact; 2 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 3:51 PM

No. 2 on the day — October 3, 2026

Dustin Harris (SD) — +95.7.

His biggest swing was a single in the 9th against MIL — worth +11.7 points of win probability at 2.75x leverage.

+20.2 win probability · +75.5 process

#MLB #Padres #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 3, 2026. Dustin Harris, SD hitter, +95.7 DAWG points (+20.2 win probability, +75.5 process). 5 PA, 0 HR, 1 BB, 1.100 OPS. His biggest swing was a single in the 9th against MIL — worth +11.7 points of win probability at 2.75x leverage. How he earned it: 3 reached after two strikes; 8 pitches after pitch 5; 5 two-strike foul-offs; 2 chased and made contact; 1 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 3:51 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — October 3, 2026

Drew Rasmussen (TB) — +99.9 DAWG points.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 2nd against NYY — worth +2.3 points of win probability at 1.32x leverage.

+130.2 win probability · -30.3 process

#MLB #Rays #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 3, 2026. Drew Rasmussen, TB pitcher, +99.9 DAWG points (+130.2 win probability, -30.3 process). 8.0 IP, 10 K, 2 BB, 0.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 2nd against NYY — worth +2.3 points of win probability at 1.32x leverage. How he earned it: 4 strikes with men on; 2 pitches inside, same hand; 15 first-pitch strikes; 10 put-away strikeouts; −2 walks allowed.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 4:42 PM

No. 5 on the day — October 1, 2026

Chris Sale (ATL) — +22.0.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 9th against PHI — worth +1.1 points of win probability at 0.46x leverage.

+3.1 win probability · +18.9 process

#MLB #Braves #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 1, 2026. Chris Sale, ATL pitcher, +22.0 DAWG points (+3.1 win probability, +18.9 process). 1.1 IP, 3 K, 0 BB, 0.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 9th against PHI — worth +1.1 points of win probability at 0.46x leverage. How he earned it: 5 strikes with men on; 2 pitches inside, same hand; 5 first-pitch strikes; 3 put-away strikeouts.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 4:42 PM

No. 4 on the day — October 1, 2026

Ozzie Albies (ATL) — +23.8.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 4th against PHI — worth +8.1 points of win probability at 0.61x leverage.

+12.8 win probability · +11.0 process

#MLB #Braves #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 1, 2026. Ozzie Albies, ATL hitter, +23.8 DAWG points (+12.8 win probability, +11.0 process). 4 PA, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1.833 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 4th against PHI — worth +8.1 points of win probability at 0.61x leverage. How he earned it: 2 pitches after pitch 5; 1 two-strike foul-offs; 3 chased and made contact; 4 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 4:42 PM

No. 3 on the day — October 1, 2026

Brandon Marsh (PHI) — +23.8.

His biggest swing was a walk in the 5th against ATL — worth +3.8 points of win probability at 1.40x leverage.

+6.6 win probability · +17.3 process

#MLB #Phillies #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 1, 2026. Brandon Marsh, PHI hitter, +23.8 DAWG points (+6.6 win probability, +17.3 process). 2 PA, 0 HR, 1 BB, .500 OPS. His biggest swing was a walk in the 5th against ATL — worth +3.8 points of win probability at 1.40x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 2 pitches after pitch 5; 1 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 4:42 PM

No. 2 on the day — October 1, 2026

Grant Holmes (ATL) — +29.2.

His biggest moment was a field out in the 5th against PHI — worth +3.5 points of win probability at 1.66x leverage.

+12.2 win probability · +16.9 process

#MLB #Braves #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 1, 2026. Grant Holmes, ATL pitcher, +29.2 DAWG points (+12.2 win probability, +16.9 process). 2.0 IP, 1 K, 1 BB, 0.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a field out in the 5th against PHI — worth +3.5 points of win probability at 1.66x leverage. How he earned it: 1 jams escaped; 6 strikes with men on; 4 pitches inside, same hand; 6 first-pitch strikes; 1 put-away strikeouts.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 4:42 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — October 1, 2026

Michael Harris (ATL) — +41.7 DAWG points.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 1st against PHI — worth +20.6 points of win probability at 1.97x leverage.

+32.5 win probability · +9.2 process

#MLB #Braves #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, October 1, 2026. Michael Harris, ATL hitter, +41.7 DAWG points (+32.5 win probability, +9.2 process). 4 PA, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1.833 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 1st against PHI — worth +20.6 points of win probability at 1.97x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 2 pitches after pitch 5; 3 two-strike foul-offs; 5 chased and made contact; 1 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:30 PM

No. 5 on the day — September 30, 2026

Cody Bellinger (NYY) — +43.1.

His biggest swing was a field out in the 3rd against BOS — worth -2.6 points of win probability at 1.00x leverage.

+22.7 win probability · +20.4 process

#MLB #Yankees #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Cody Bellinger, NYY hitter, +43.1 DAWG points (+22.7 win probability, +20.4 process). 5 PA, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1.400 OPS. His biggest swing was a field out in the 3rd against BOS — worth -2.6 points of win probability at 1.00x leverage. How he earned it: 3 pitches after pitch 5; 3 two-strike foul-offs; 3 chased and made contact; 3 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

No. 4 on the day — September 30, 2026

Cam Smith (HOU) — +49.0.

His biggest swing was a hit by pitch in the 5th against CWS — worth +5.6 points of win probability at 1.36x leverage.

+18.3 win probability · +30.7 process

#MLB #Astros #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Cam Smith, HOU hitter, +49.0 DAWG points (+18.3 win probability, +30.7 process). 4 PA, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1.833 OPS. His biggest swing was a hit by pitch in the 5th against CWS — worth +5.6 points of win probability at 1.36x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 5 pitches after pitch 5; 4 two-strike foul-offs; 2 chased and made contact; 3 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

No. 3 on the day — September 30, 2026

Andrew Painter (PHI) — +51.5.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 10th against ATL — worth +17.6 points of win probability at 3.77x leverage.

+105.8 win probability · -54.3 process

#MLB #Phillies #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Andrew Painter, PHI pitcher, +51.5 DAWG points (+105.8 win probability, -54.3 process). 3.0 IP, 3 K, 1 BB, 0.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 10th against ATL — worth +17.6 points of win probability at 3.77x leverage. How he earned it: 1 jams escaped; 10 strikes with men on; 2 pitches inside, same hand; 8 first-pitch strikes; 3 put-away strikeouts.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

No. 2 on the day — September 30, 2026

Willson Contreras (BOS) — +53.9.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 6th against NYY — worth +10.9 points of win probability at 0.49x leverage.

+37.2 win probability · +16.7 process

#MLB #RedSox #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Willson Contreras, BOS hitter, +53.9 DAWG points (+37.2 win probability, +16.7 process). 4 PA, 1 HR, 2 BB, 3.500 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 6th against NYY — worth +10.9 points of win probability at 0.49x leverage. How he earned it: 2 reached after two strikes; 3 pitches after pitch 5; 1 two-strike foul-offs; 3 chased and made contact; 1 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — September 30, 2026

Alec Bohm (PHI) — +93.2 DAWG points.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 10th against ATL — worth +41.1 points of win probability at 1.26x leverage.

+94.3 win probability · -1.1 process

#MLB #Phillies #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Alec Bohm, PHI hitter, +93.2 DAWG points (+94.3 win probability, -1.1 process). 5 PA, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1.850 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 10th against ATL — worth +41.1 points of win probability at 1.26x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 1 two-strike foul-offs; 3 hard-hit balls.
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