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@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 5:53 PM

You can now find a thread with all the #SundayStats threads here; it will be updated each week: bsky.app/profile/exce...

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 5:48 PM

Master thread of #SundayStats threads! Bookmark for later ❤️

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 4:39 PM

Next time: 2.6.3 Construct validity! And the end of 'background'.

See you next week for #SundayStats ❤️

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 4:22 PM

Navarro is SUCH a good writer, as previously observed: this paragraph feels like a teaser #SundayStats

To give you a quick guide as to what matters here… (1) Internal and external validity are the most important, since they tie directly to the fundamental question of whether your study really works. (2) Construct validity asks whether you’re measuring what you think you are. (3) Face validity isn’t terribly important except insofar as you care about “appearances”. (4) Ecological validity is a special case of face validity that corresponds to a kind of appearance that you might care about a lot.
@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 4:19 PM

Section 2.6 - Assessing the validity of a study

You remember we talked previously about precision vs accuracy (which may be more familiar terms).

Validity is accuracy. How close is your data to right and true (rather than to repeated measures of itself)? #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 4:17 PM

Or you can go to the very beginning of #SundayStats, which starts here: bsky.app/profile/exce...

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 4:09 PM

(It's important to note that a lot of observational studies-- a lot of what you see in studies based on people's electronic health record (EHR) data, for example-- is simply going to have to take confounds into account. I'm sure we'll get there.) #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 3:56 PM

2.5.1 Experimental research

"The... researcher controls all aspects of the study, especially what participants experience during the study. In particular, the researcher manipulates or varies the predictor variables (IVs), and then allows the outcome variable (DV) to vary naturally." #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 3:52 PM

2.5 - Experimental and non-experimental research

"When we make this distinction, what we’re really talking about is the degree of control that the researcher exercises over the people and events in the study," Navarro says. #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 3:08 PM

2.4 The “role” of variables: predictors and outcomes

This, too, may remind you of your middle-school science education: independent vs dependent variables. Just because it's older doesn't mean it can't be confused.

When I taught middle school science, we spent a lot of time on this. #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 3:03 PM

By a similar token, it's possible to have data that is not particularly reliable, but still valid.

(For example, let's say you as a patient have a really fluctuating RDW on your bloodwork but it trends high-ish. Your RDW is still high, even though the measures are not *precise*.) #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 2:58 PM

Reliability = precision
Validity = accuracy

Reliability/precision is asking, "if I take a measurement multiple times, what is the likelihood it will be the same?" Your bathroom scale is going to be reliable / precise: if you step on and off again, it should tell you the same thing. #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 2:55 PM

(We've already spoken about vocabulary changes across fields: this is precision vs accuracy by any other name. You may remember this from your high school textbooks:) #SundayStats

Four dartboards. 
1. High accuracy, low precision - 'darts' concentrated loosely around the target's center
2. High accuracy, high precision - 'darts' concentrated very close together at the target's center
3. Low accuracy low precision - 'dart's just any old place
4. Low accuracy, high precision - Darts concentrated, but very much in the wrong place
@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 2:55 PM

2.3: Assessing the Reliability of a Measurement. We're now thinking about the *quality* of a measure: how do we know it's any good?

We'll judge using two constructs: reliability and validity.

#SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 2:31 PM

Giving everyone a minute to grab a drink, their meds, and curl up. If you're anywhere in the eastern US, it's raining right now 🌧️ #SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 2:30 PM

Hey everyone! We're back to #SundayStats! We're working from Navarro's learningstatisticswithr.com and this is only our second week, so it's easy to catch up if you want to join in!

Here is where we started last week: bsky.app/profile/exce...

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 9:11 PM

Honestly as we just discussed in #SundayStats, these are all categorical variables so I'm really done with them after this much math :)

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 2:15 PM

Setting these threads up as I do talks at conferences. We're continuing to Background Section 2 here:

bsky.app/profile/exce...

#SundayStats

@exceedhergrasp1.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 2:01 PM

OK we are committing: #SundayStats