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@kevinbonham.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 7:57 AM

#ResolvePM ALP 29 L-NP 23 ON 25 Grn 12 IND 6 others 5

No 2PP published. My estimate ALP 52.8 vs L-NP (+1.9)

My ALP vs ON estimate 53.3 to ALP (+2.3)

@kevinbonham.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 7:57 AM

#ResolvePM NSW (state) ALP 29 L-NP 24 ON 25 Green 11 Ind 5 other 5, very similar to previous poll. My 2PP estimate 55.2 to ALP. #nswpol

(I previously mistakenly tagged this as DemosAU while travelling)

@kevinbonham.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 7:37 AM

#ResolvePM Vic (state) ALP 25 L-NP 28 ON 23 Grn 12 Ind 8 other 5

My 2PP estimate 52.7 (+0.6) to L-NP
Very small primary vote changes from last month
#springst

@kevinbonham.bsky.socialSep 13, 2026, 9:07 AM

#ResolvePM ALP 28 L-NP 24 ON 27 Grn 12 IND 6 other 3

No 2PP released.
My estimates ALP 50.9 vs L-NP (-0.8)
ALP 51.0 vs ON (-0.9)

Would be a messy election, ALP would probably lose majority and could lose office on such numbers.