#RedbridgeAccent Vic (state) ALP 24 L-NP 30 ON 24 Grn 16 (!) Ind/other 6 (seems too low)

Their 2PP respondent prefs 56-44 to L-NP
My est 53.5 to L-NP

Their ALP vs ON respondent prefs 55-45 to ALP
My est 50.5 to ON

I'd expect an L-NP majority off these primaries.

#springst

#RedbridgeAccent ALP 28 L-NP 21 ON 29 Grn 11 Oth 11

Their 2PP respondent prefs 54-46 to L-NP (!!???) (+2)
Last election prefs 50-50 (L-NP up 2)
My conversion 51.2 to ALP (-0.5)

Their ALP vs ON respondent 52 to ALP (=)
My conversion ALP trails 49.9-50.1 (ALP down 1.1)