So all those projections from the ratings-issuing nerdshops, as to #NYGov being listed at Safe Dem Hold, are not total bullshit, then.

Got it.

YIKES.

Realistic to me than much of the recent #NYGov polling that has found Hochul only up 10-15.

Simply do not buy blue states like NY being remotely that close in a year like this.

Same goes with other blue states that have also been polling surprisingly close such as MN, NH, and NM. Could buy it in

For example:

With Gina Hinojosa now practically tied with Greg Abbott in #TXGov, one might then assume that Kathy Hochul would be leading Bruce Blakeman in #NYGov by 25 points.

But Hochul only leads by about 10, which for NY in a blue wave feels ‘meh’ at best.

Don’t conflate the states.

Most realistic poll I’ve seen for #NYGov in months. Still think it will be slightly higher than D+19, but this is a lot closer to reality imo in this environment than the upper single digits- low double digits Hochul leads many other recent polls of #NYGov has found.

Hochul won’t even break a sweat … #Election2026 #NYpol #NYgov