#EBRDrep: In sub-Saharan Africa, growth is expected at 4.8% in 2026 and 4.7% in 2027 as commodity windfalls fade. The 2026 forecast has been revised up, mainly on stronger growth in Nigeria, supported by agriculture and services.

#EBRDrep: #EBRDrep: Growth in SEMED is forecast at -0.7% in 2026 before rebounding sharply to 7.1% in 2027, driven largely by the expected normalisation of Iraq’s oil exports. Excluding Iraq, growth is projected at 3.9% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.

#EBRDrep: In Türkiye, growth is projected at 3% in 2026 and 4%in 2027. The 2026 forecast has been revised down by 0.5 percentage points as persistent inflationary pressures have required tighter financing conditions.

#EBRDrep: In eastern Europe and the Caucasus, growth is expected at 2.5% in 2026 and 3.1% in 2027. Forecasts for Ukraine have been revised down following Russia’s renewed attacks on Ukraine’s Black Sea ports and vessels.

#EBRDrep: In Central Asia, growth is forecast at 5.8% in 2026 and 5.3% in 2027. Forecasts have been revised up for Uzbekistan on strong domestic demand, and for Mongolia, on record mining output. Disruption to fuel supplies from Russia remains a downside risk.

#EBRDrep: Growth in the Western Balkans is expected at 3.0% in 2026 and 3.5% in 2027, supported by improving external demand, stronger investment and tourism.

#EBRDrep: In the south-eastern EU, growth is projected at 0.5% in 2026 and 2% in 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.

#EBRDrep: Growth in central Europe and the Baltic states is expected at 2.9% in 2026 & 2.5% in 2027. Economic activity has been supported by a peak in the absorption of EU Recovery and Resilience Facility funds, but growth is expected to moderate as this financing comes to an end

The 2026 growth forecast has been revised down by 0.6 percentage points relative to the previous forecast published in June, while the 2027 outlook has been revised up by 0.4 percentage points. #EBRDrep

#EBRDrep: Growth in the #EBRDregions projected at 2.5% in 2026, before accelerating to 4.0% in 2027.

The EBRD cuts growth forecasts as energy costs, drought and food security risks weigh on.

Read our latest Regional Economic Prospects report: www.ebrd.com/home/news-an...