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@kevinbonham.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 3:20 AM

#DemosAU MRP 4 Aug-19 Sep

Primaries ALP 27 L-NP 22 ON 25 Grn 13 Ind/other 13

Their seat ranges ALP 73-85 L-NP 25-44 ON 22-35 Grn 0-3 others 5-10, my comments to follow.

@leroylynch.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 10:26 PM

#DemosAU federal MRP poll
ALP 27%, 73-85 seats
ONP 26%, 22-35 seats
LNP 22%, 25-44 seats
GRN 13%
IND/OTH 12%
data from August and September, 9740 voters
www.capitalbrief.com/newsletter/h... ($) #auspol

@kevinbonham.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 11:20 PM

#DemosAU Vic (state) - released on 28th not new, just first time I've had time to note it.

ALP 25 L-NP 30 Grn 14 ON 20 Ind/others 11
2PP (mixed method) 52-48 to L-NP (my estimate about the same, 52.3)

#springst

@kevinbonham.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 8:35 AM

#DemosAU TAS (state) Lib 28 ALP 22 ON 21 GRN 15 IND 10 SFF 2 others 2. My writeup may be delayed by FIDE election matters #politas

@kevinbonham.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 8:45 PM

#DemosAU ALP 28 L-NP 20 ON 26 Grn 13 Ind/Other 13
No 2PP. My estimates for this poll ALP 53.3 (+3.4) vs L-NP, ALP 52.5 (+1.5) vs ON.

@kevinbonham.bsky.socialSep 9, 2026, 10:00 AM

#DemosAU Qld (state) LNP 34 ALP 26 ON 21 Grn 11 KAP 1 others 7
2PP 56-44 (-2) to LNP
Pref Premier 45-33 to Crisafulli

Net ratings Crisafulli +18 Miles -5 (also Bleijie -5 Frecklington +3 Dick -10 Fentiman -12)

#qldpol
demosau.com/wp-content/u...