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@leestoner.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 10:25 PM

Why Machine Learning Can't Answer 'What If?'

Machine learning can predict with stunning accuracy and still mislead about cause and effect. See how causal inference separates predi...

https://blog.scienceye.com/why-machine-learning-cant-answer-what-if/

#causalinference #causality #confounding #co…

Why Machine Learning Can’t Answer ‘What If?’
@data.ytSep 26, 2026, 8:18 AM

"Mediators, confounders, colliders – a crash course in causal inference", by @florianhartig.bsky.social (2019): theoreticalecology.wordpress.com/2019/04/14/m... 🧵

#policy #intervention #graphs #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #ecology #confounding

Confounding: Smoking is upstream of Exercise and Lung cancer Mediation: Immune function sits in between Exercise and Lung cancer from Florian Hartig at https://theoreticalecology.wordpress.com/2019/04/14/mediators-confounders-colliders-a-crash-course-in-causal-inference/