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U@unvigcom.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 6:21 AM

Viking W are today's biggest favourite: 92.4%.

Klepp W v Viking W

That sounds like a certainty. It is not. Roughly 1 out of every 10 matches priced like this end differently.

#KleppW #VikingW #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata #novig
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

Viking W at 92.4% — why that is not a certainty
U@unvigcom.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 6:21 AM

Real Calepina v Leon is priced almost dead level.

35.8% versus 35.0% — 0.8 points apart, margin stripped out.

Not a prediction. Just what the market actually thinks.

#RealCalepina #Leon #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata #novig
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

Real Calepina v Leon is a coin flip — 35.8% vs 35.0%, no vig
U@unvigcom.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 7:26 AM

Moss v Kongsvinger.

The price on your app says one thing. The probability underneath it says another, and the gap between them is what the house keeps.

Here is the number without their cut.

#Moss #Kongsvinger #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata #novig
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

Moss v Kongsvinger — the real chances, bookmaker margin removed
U@unvigcom.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 9:06 AM

Ponferradina v Mirandes is priced almost dead level.

34.9% versus 35.3% — 0.4 points apart, margin stripped out.

Not a prediction. Just what the market actually thinks.

#Ponferradina #Mirandes #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata #novig
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

Ponferradina v Mirandes is a coin flip — 34.9% vs 35.3%, no vig
U@unvigcom.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 7:07 AM

FK Humenne v Pohronie is priced almost dead level.

36.8% versus 37.0% — 0.2 points apart, margin stripped out.

Not a prediction. Just what the market actually thinks.

#FKHumenne #Pohronie #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata #novig
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

FK Humenne v Pohronie is a coin flip — 36.8% vs 37.0%, no vig
U@unvigcom.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 12:42 PM

Helmond v Heracles.

The price on your app says one thing. The probability underneath it says another, and the gap between them is what the house keeps.

Here is the number without their cut.

#Helmond #Heracles #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata #novig
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

Helmond v Heracles — the real chances, bookmaker margin removed
U@unvigcom.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 12:42 PM

Poland v Romania.

The price on your app says one thing. The probability underneath it says another, and the gap between them is what the house keeps.

Here is the number without their cut.

#Poland #Romania #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata #novig
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

Poland v Romania — the real chances, bookmaker margin removed
U@unvigcom.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 1:22 PM

Kyrgyzstan v Maldives.

The price on your app says one thing. The probability underneath it says another, and the gap between them is what the house keeps.

Here is the number without their cut.

#Kyrgyzstan #Maldives #football #sportsanalytics #probability #bettingdata
https://unvig.com/?s=bsky

Kyrgyzstan v Maldives — the real chances, bookmaker margin removed