Kui Taiwani rahvas kaotab usalduse USA või teiste neid toetavate lääneriikide suhtes, liigub Taiwan tõenäoliselt teist teed – tõenäoliselt Hiina suunas.
See oleks katastroofiline ka Jaapani julgeolekule, leiab professor Masafumi Iida.

Kui Taiwani rahvas kaotab usalduse USA või teiste neid toetavate lääneriikide suhtes, liigub Taiwan tõenäoliselt teist teed – tõenäoliselt Hiina suunas.
See oleks katastroofiline ka Jaapani julgeolekule, leiab professor Masafumi Iida.
Sustaining the Fight
More about the session: abcd.icds.ee/agenda/sessi...
📸 Day 2 photos: flic.kr/s/aHBqjD5xuR
Sustaining the Fight
- Patrick Sensburg, University of Applied Sciences for Police and Public Administration
- Wilfred Rietdijk, 1 German-Netherlands Corps
- Ilmar Tamm, Estonian Defence League
- Jaanus Tamm, Defsecintel Solutions
Moderator: @eburrows.bsky.social, @apnews.com
Deterring the War: Defanging Russia
More about the session: abcd.icds.ee/agenda/sessi...
📸 Day 2 photos: flic.kr/s/aHBqjD5xuR
Deterring the War: Defanging Russia
- Ian Brzezinski, Senior Fellow @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
- Gert-Jan Kooij, Royal Netherlands Army
- Mark Pullan, IMS
- Guillaume Thomas, Allied Air Command
Moderator: @mashaml.bsky.social, Freelance Journalist
Winning the War: The Role of Technology
More about the session: abcd.icds.ee/agenda/sessi...
📸 Day 2 photos: flic.kr/s/aHBqjD5xuR
Winning the War: The Role of Technology
- Benoît Desmeulles, 1st Army Corps
- Tarja Jaakkola, NATO
- John Mead, Joint Force Command Brunssum
- Ivo Peets, Estonian Defence Forces
Moderator: Nicholas Nelson, Archangel Capital Partners
#ABCDTallinn @modestonia.bsky.social
Pattern Traps: Safety of Escalation
- Patrycja Bazylczyk, @csis.org
- Jungsup Kim, Sejong Institute
- Sébastien Vallette, French Ministry of the Armed Forces
Moderator: @jparakilas.bsky.social, @randeurope.org
📸 Photos: flic.kr/s/aHBqjD5xuR
Today's war demands the ability to constantly adapt new situations, the will of society to defend its country and a continuously high defence budget.
This requires the commitment of all citizens, e.g. in the reserve.
— Patrick Sensburg | #ABCDTallinn key message
Allies need to make sure that the burden-shifting process within NATO does not at any point of time undermine credible deterrence and military readiness. We need to develop an Alliance that is both more European and stronger.
— @kristiraik.bsky.social, Director of the ICDS
#ABCDTallinn key message
Understanding the adversary’s escalation threshold is key to effective escalation management. Equally important, escalation management is closely tied to our war objectives.
— Jungsup Kim, President of the Sejong Institute | #ABCDTallinn key message
From summit decisions to operational realities, NATO is turning strategy into deterrence. The challenge now is ensuring plans, forces and authorities remain credible.
— Mark Pullan, CBE, Director Operations and Planning – IMS | #ABCDTallinn key message
As the Russian threat grows stronger and the US extended deterrence weaker, French forward deterrence can provide a credible framework for discussions on nuclear options for Europe.
— Héloïse Fayet @hfayet.bsky.social | #ABCDTallinn key message
Keynote speech by Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe
Johnny Stringer, Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe, KCB CBE MA FRAeS RAF
Choosing to Win: Building Confidence in Complexity | #ABCDTallinn
Keynote Session: Rethinking Alliance(s)
- Marshall Billingslea, Senior Fellow at Hudson Institute
- Zamir Nicholas Catsaras, Assistant Secretary General – Defence Policy & Planning
- Kristjan Prikk, Permanent Representative of Estonia to NATO
Moderator: @kristiraik.bsky.social
Keynote Session: Rethinking Alliance(s) – Fireside chat with Estonian and Belgium Defence Ministers
- Theo Francken
- Martin Herem
Moderator: @kristiraik.bsky.social, Director of the ICDS
#ABCDTallinn @modestonia.bsky.social
Making sure Russia does not get to decide Ukraine’s future or Europe’s security order requires will and resources. If we want to win, we need to build defence capabilities and alliances that are ready to win.
— @kristenmichalpm.bsky.social | #ABCDTallinn key message
"Making sure Russia does not get to decide Ukraine’s future or Europe’s security order requires will and resources.
If we want to win, we need to build defence capabilities and alliances that are ready to win." 2/2
— Kristen Michal, Prime Minister of Estonia
"Russia still believes that it can change borders by force. It seeks to decide the future of its neighbours, divide Europe and spread discord around the world." 1/2
— Kristen Michal, Prime Minister of Estonia
@kristenmichalpm.bsky.social
𝐂𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐨 𝐖𝐢𝐧: 𝐁𝐮𝐢𝐥𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐱𝐢𝐭𝐲
The 20th Annual Baltic Conference on Defence (ABCD) is now underway.
📸 Photos: flic.kr/s/aHBqjD5vQL
@kristenmichalpm.bsky.social @modestonia.bsky.social