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@opusminus.bsky.socialOct 16, 2026, 3:40 PM

AI stock wobble - ongoing

www.cnbc.com/2026/10/16/c...

#ai #llm #stock #uncertainty #decline #trust #hyperscaler #CoreWeave #bankrupt

@atheendar.bsky.socialOct 16, 2026, 1:52 PM

The best #doctors know how to quantify, manage, and deal with #uncertainty.

For the average or bad doc, AI can help with uncertainty -- but only to a point. AI trained on all the data we give it (whatever ends up being measured, with whatever spin and bias we throw in there). It has blind spots.

@fritzlabsx.bsky.socialOct 15, 2026, 8:36 AM

"Diving into the unknown unknowns: Collective action under different degrees of uncertainty": Online experiment (N=800) finds significantly higher cooperation and cooperative beliefs under unknown unknowns vs. risk or ambiguity in a public goods game. #Uncertainty #CollectiveAction

@tmlr-pub.bsky.socialOct 15, 2026, 4:21 AM

Wasserstein-type Gaussian Process Regressions for Input Measurement Uncertainty

Hengrui Luo, Sherry Li, Yang Liu, Marcus M. Noack, Ji Qiang, Mark D Risser

Action editor: Seungjin Choi

https://openreview.net/forum?id=yEZjju9CUw

#wasserstein #gaussian #uncertainty

@porteconj.bsky.socialOct 13, 2026, 1:00 PM

New article in PEJ: The impact of monetary policy on inflation expectations uncertainty: a behavioral analysis for Turkey by Muslum Basilgan & Salih Yildirim 

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

#PortugueseEconomicJournal
#EconomicResearch
#Inflationexpectations
#Uncertainty

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@globaladvisors.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 3:11 AM

#Quote: #MichaelElliott – President of #AmherstCollege - https://with.ga/qxlzw
"Figuring out how to find pleasure in #Uncertainty is going to be a valuable life skill." - Michael Elliott - President of Amherst College

Uncertainty is not merely a gap in knowledge; it is a condition...

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@marcwilson1000.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 3:01 AM

#Quote: #MichaelElliott – President of #AmherstCollege - https://with.ga/qxlzw
"Figuring out how to find pleasure in #Uncertainty is going to be a valuable life skill." - Michael Elliott - President of Amherst College

Uncertainty is not merely a gap in knowledge; it is a condition...

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@coolhandfrank.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 7:25 PM

COOL HAND FRANK featured #writer Marianna Gavurmadzhyan delivers some youthful #perspective about #uncertainty and how she feels about the #future, and maybe we should, too.

www.coolhandfrank.com/new-stories/...

#artwork (buy it now) "future" by Lynne McDonald, all rights reserved.

#artwork (buy it now) "future" by Lynne McDonald, all rights reserved.
@boblivion.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 7:03 PM

#quotes #books #booksky #excerpts #citations #howchanceandstupidityhavechangedhistory #durschmied #chance #stupidity #history #power #ruler #uncertainty

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@gmj-georgia.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 11:26 PM

A new AI framework teaches neural networks to recognise when they encounter unfamiliar cancer subtypes—preventing overconfident mi… #Artificialintelligence #Cancerdiagnosis #MedicalAI #Oncology #Uncertaintyquantification #Artificialintelligence #Cancerdiagnosis #MedicalAI #Oncology #Uncertainty…

@masterdannychen.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 5:57 AM

masterdannychen.pro/general/bein...

Most people prefer to pretend like they have all the steps figured out rather than to face/accept the uncomfortable truth that they aren't entirely sure about their next steps.

#uncertainty #careerpath #blogging #newposts

A top-down photo showing a photo of paths leading in different directions.
@newsen.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 11:13 AM

Uncertainty in Global Construction Costs Approaches $2 Trillion in 2026 #London #United_Kingdom #construction_costs #Uncertainty #Currie_&_Brown

@processorpress.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 4:37 AM

The central bank’s crystal ball has officially developed a crack, turning the once-viable economic forecast into a murky puddle of speculative sludge. In a region where uncertainty is the only stable asset…
#Cracked #Crystal #Ball #Economists #Embrace #Uncertainty #Business #BusinessNews #Satire

@clarathewriter.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 7:52 AM

Certainty creates rigidity, uncertainty allows flexibility—I'm free because I don't know. When I'm certain, I defend. Uncertainty lets me respond. Where in your life could uncertainty actually create more freedom? #spiritualwisdom #freedom #uncertainty

@mzloteanu.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 5:56 PM

#statstab #630 A Tutorial on Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification Using Conformal Prediction

Thoughts: Conformal predictions are getting more popular.

#conformalprediction #frequentist #uncertainty #assumptions #distributions #tutorial

doi.org/10.1177/2515...

@freegardener.bsky.socialOct 2, 2026, 4:28 PM

LLMs now show calibrated uncertainty—verbalized confidence tracks internal probabilities, so "I'm 70% sure" actually means something. #AI #MachineLearning #LLM #Uncertainty #ExplainableAI

https://freegardner.com/synapse/ai-models-learn-to-express-calibrated-uncertainty.html

@veganfuturist.bsky.socialSep 29, 2026, 12:33 PM

Recorded in Oct 2022, five weeks before ChatGPT, #futurist Ursula Eysin told me that predicting the future is a powerless position.

Her answer is #ScenarioPlanning. Her #AI take reads differently now, and so do her 3 rules for turning #uncertainty into a #leadership advantage.

snglrty.co/4bm53UK

@alanwroberts.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 8:00 PM

As well as being a gripping movie about a pivotal moment in history, #Pressure is full of lessons about decision making, the implications & role of #uncertainty, #data / analyst / population #bias, #risk ownership, team dynamics, #integrity, #leadership, and much more.

www.imdb.com/title/tt3254...

@tmlr-pub.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 12:20 PM

Missing Value Uncertainty: Could Collecting Missing Values Change the Prediction?

David J. Burnett, Surojit Ganguli, Lance M. Kaplan, Devesh Upadhyay, David I. Inouye

Action editor: Michele Caprio

https://openreview.net/forum?id=BRWTS5e03Z

#prediction #estimation #uncertainty

@evibrations.bsky.socialSep 24, 2026, 11:20 AM

Read the new article ... The Great Unwinding: Why the Sovereign Debt Trap, the AI Capital Bubble, and Multipolar De-Dollarization Are Triggering the Flight to Tangible Scarcity - Click Here cardcoincomic.com/blogs/news/t...

#economy #finance #investment #debt #trade #uncertainty #business

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