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@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:30 PM

No. 5 on the day — September 30, 2026

Cody Bellinger (NYY) — +43.1.

His biggest swing was a field out in the 3rd against BOS — worth -2.6 points of win probability at 1.00x leverage.

+22.7 win probability · +20.4 process

#MLB #Yankees #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Cody Bellinger, NYY hitter, +43.1 DAWG points (+22.7 win probability, +20.4 process). 5 PA, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1.400 OPS. His biggest swing was a field out in the 3rd against BOS — worth -2.6 points of win probability at 1.00x leverage. How he earned it: 3 pitches after pitch 5; 3 two-strike foul-offs; 3 chased and made contact; 3 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

No. 4 on the day — September 30, 2026

Cam Smith (HOU) — +49.0.

His biggest swing was a hit by pitch in the 5th against CWS — worth +5.6 points of win probability at 1.36x leverage.

+18.3 win probability · +30.7 process

#MLB #Astros #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Cam Smith, HOU hitter, +49.0 DAWG points (+18.3 win probability, +30.7 process). 4 PA, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1.833 OPS. His biggest swing was a hit by pitch in the 5th against CWS — worth +5.6 points of win probability at 1.36x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 5 pitches after pitch 5; 4 two-strike foul-offs; 2 chased and made contact; 3 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

No. 3 on the day — September 30, 2026

Andrew Painter (PHI) — +51.5.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 10th against ATL — worth +17.6 points of win probability at 3.77x leverage.

+105.8 win probability · -54.3 process

#MLB #Phillies #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Andrew Painter, PHI pitcher, +51.5 DAWG points (+105.8 win probability, -54.3 process). 3.0 IP, 3 K, 1 BB, 0.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 10th against ATL — worth +17.6 points of win probability at 3.77x leverage. How he earned it: 1 jams escaped; 10 strikes with men on; 2 pitches inside, same hand; 8 first-pitch strikes; 3 put-away strikeouts.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

No. 2 on the day — September 30, 2026

Willson Contreras (BOS) — +53.9.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 6th against NYY — worth +10.9 points of win probability at 0.49x leverage.

+37.2 win probability · +16.7 process

#MLB #RedSox #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Willson Contreras, BOS hitter, +53.9 DAWG points (+37.2 win probability, +16.7 process). 4 PA, 1 HR, 2 BB, 3.500 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 6th against NYY — worth +10.9 points of win probability at 0.49x leverage. How he earned it: 2 reached after two strikes; 3 pitches after pitch 5; 1 two-strike foul-offs; 3 chased and made contact; 1 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialOct 1, 2026, 5:29 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — September 30, 2026

Alec Bohm (PHI) — +93.2 DAWG points.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 10th against ATL — worth +41.1 points of win probability at 1.26x leverage.

+94.3 win probability · -1.1 process

#MLB #Phillies #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 30, 2026. Alec Bohm, PHI hitter, +93.2 DAWG points (+94.3 win probability, -1.1 process). 5 PA, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1.850 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 10th against ATL — worth +41.1 points of win probability at 1.26x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 1 two-strike foul-offs; 3 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 4:53 PM

No. 5 on the day — September 29, 2026

J. T. Realmuto (PHI) — +51.7.

His biggest swing was a triple in the 7th against ATL — worth +37.4 points of win probability at 1.61x leverage.

+71.1 win probability · -19.4 process

#MLB #Phillies #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 29, 2026. J. T. Realmuto, PHI hitter, +51.7 DAWG points (+71.1 win probability, -19.4 process). 3 PA, 0 HR, 0 BB, 1.333 OPS. His biggest swing was a triple in the 7th against ATL — worth +37.4 points of win probability at 1.61x leverage. How he earned it: 1 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 4:53 PM

No. 4 on the day — September 29, 2026

Austin Riley (ATL) — +69.0.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 8th against PHI — worth +63.7 points of win probability at 4.83x leverage.

+87.2 win probability · -18.2 process

#MLB #Braves #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 29, 2026. Austin Riley, ATL hitter, +69.0 DAWG points (+87.2 win probability, -18.2 process). 4 PA, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1.833 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 8th against PHI — worth +63.7 points of win probability at 4.83x leverage. How he earned it: 1 chased and made contact; 1 hard-hit balls; 1 wore a pitch.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 4:53 PM

No. 3 on the day — September 29, 2026

Ozzie Albies (ATL) — +75.4.

His biggest swing was a hit by pitch in the 8th against PHI — worth +5.7 points of win probability at 2.67x leverage.

+46.4 win probability · +29.0 process

#MLB #Braves #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 29, 2026. Ozzie Albies, ATL hitter, +75.4 DAWG points (+46.4 win probability, +29.0 process). 4 PA, 0 HR, 1 BB, 2.250 OPS. His biggest swing was a hit by pitch in the 8th against PHI — worth +5.7 points of win probability at 2.67x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 1 pitches after pitch 5; 1 chased and made contact; 4 hard-hit balls; 1 wore a pitch.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 4:53 PM

No. 2 on the day — September 29, 2026

Ben Rice (NYY) — +100.2.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 8th against BOS — worth +0.4 points of win probability at 2.50x leverage.

+37.1 win probability · +63.1 process

#MLB #Yankees #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 29, 2026. Ben Rice, NYY hitter, +100.2 DAWG points (+37.1 win probability, +63.1 process). 5 PA, 2 HR, 0 BB, 3.000 OPS. His biggest swing was a home run in the 8th against BOS — worth +0.4 points of win probability at 2.50x leverage. How he earned it: 3 reached after two strikes; 1 pitches after pitch 5; 1 two-strike foul-offs; 3 chased and made contact; 4 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 30, 2026, 4:53 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — September 29, 2026

Cam Schlittler (NYY) — +124.9 DAWG points.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 3rd against BOS — worth +2.6 points of win probability at 1.02x leverage.

+79.1 win probability · +45.8 process

#MLB #Yankees #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 29, 2026. Cam Schlittler, NYY pitcher, +124.9 DAWG points (+79.1 win probability, +45.8 process). 6.1 IP, 10 K, 1 BB, 0.00 RA9. His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 3rd against BOS — worth +2.6 points of win probability at 1.02x leverage. How he earned it: 8 strikes with men on; 9 pitches inside, same hand; 12 first-pitch strikes; 10 put-away strikeouts; −1 walks allowed.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 6:42 PM

No. 5 on the day — September 27, 2026

699024 (STL) — +61.8.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 8th against MIL — worth +6.7 points of win probability at 1.60x leverage.

+22.6 win probability · +39.2 process

#MLB #Cardinals #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 6:41 PM

No. 4 on the day — September 27, 2026

Alex Bregman (CHC) — +71.3.

His biggest swing was a single in the 5th against BOS — worth +5.4 points of win probability at 1.67x leverage.

+68.0 win probability · +3.3 process

#MLB #Cubs #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 6:41 PM

No. 3 on the day — September 27, 2026

691858 (MIA) — +72.6.

His biggest swing was a double in the 6th against ATL — worth +17.2 points of win probability at 1.72x leverage.

+61.5 win probability · +11.2 process

#MLB #Marlins #xDAWG

xDAWG card. DAWG OF THE DAY, September 27, 2026. 691858, MIA hitter, +72.6 DAWG points (+61.5 win probability, +11.2 process). 3 PA, 0 HR, 1 BB, 2.500 OPS. His biggest swing was a double in the 6th against ATL — worth +17.2 points of win probability at 1.72x leverage. How he earned it: 1 reached after two strikes; 2 pitches after pitch 5; 1 two-strike foul-offs; 1 hard-hit balls.
@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 6:41 PM

No. 2 on the day — September 27, 2026

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) — +74.8.

His biggest swing was a single in the 6th against ATL — worth +15.3 points of win probability at 1.22x leverage.

+29.6 win probability · +45.2 process

#MLB #Marlins #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 28, 2026, 6:41 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — September 27, 2026

Patrick Sandoval (BOS) — +112.1 DAWG points.

His biggest moment was a grounded into double play in the 5th against CHC — worth +10.2 points of win probability at 1.66x leverage.

+23.0 win probability · +89.1 process

#MLB #RedSox #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 27, 2026, 3:45 PM

No. 5 on the day — September 26, 2026

Brice Turang (MIL) — +75.4.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 5th against STL — worth +29.6 points of win probability at 1.48x leverage.

+50.0 win probability · +25.4 process

#MLB #Brewers #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 27, 2026, 3:45 PM

No. 4 on the day — September 26, 2026

Jonah Tong (NYM) — +80.0.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 1st against WSH — worth +4.4 points of win probability at 1.95x leverage.

+21.4 win probability · +58.7 process

#MLB #Mets #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 27, 2026, 3:45 PM

No. 3 on the day — September 26, 2026

A. J. Ewing (NYM) — +95.8.

His biggest swing was a home run in the 7th against WSH — worth +49.0 points of win probability at 3.56x leverage.

+75.2 win probability · +20.5 process

#MLB #Mets #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 27, 2026, 3:44 PM

No. 2 on the day — September 26, 2026

Drew Cavanaugh (SF) — +97.4.

His biggest swing was a triple in the 7th against LAD — worth +22.4 points of win probability at 2.17x leverage.

+81.7 win probability · +15.7 process

#MLB #Giants #xDAWG

@xdawgmlb.bsky.socialSep 27, 2026, 3:44 PM

DAWG OF THE DAY — September 26, 2026

Gordon Graceffo (STL) — +100.3 DAWG points.

His biggest moment was a strikeout in the 6th against MIL — worth +5.4 points of win probability at 1.74x leverage.

+24.1 win probability · +76.2 process

#MLB #Cardinals #xDAWG

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