CICERO Center for International Climate Research

@cicero.oslo.no

CICERO Center for International Climate Research is Norway’s foremost institute for interdisciplinary climate research.

@robbieandrew.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

Interesting point in the latest report from the EIA. Despite higher LNG exports from the US, domestic natural gas prices in 2027 are expected to be lower, because production increases more than enough to cover the extra LNG exported.

Natural gas prices. We forecast the Henry Hub spot price for natural gas to average $3.16 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2027, a 9% decrease from 2026. The decrease reflects ongoing higher-than-average natural gas inventories in our forecast, driven by production increases that offset rising liquefied natural gas exports.
@robbieandrew.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

At the end of 2025, the Netherlands saw a sharp increase of BEV registrations as purchases were brought forward to avoid new tax rules. But now in September that rate of BEVs is being reached without the threat of imminent tax changes. This is the trend.

Graph showing: Registrations of new passenger cars: Netherlands
@robbieandrew.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

If the US bans exports of diesel, prices will probably go UP in some parts of the US. Why? Because they import diesel and face international prices, which would go up with an export ban.

@robbieandrew.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

"More than 13 million people across seven provinces have been exposed to toxic smoke.... Between Aug. 18 and Sept. 21, health officials recorded nearly 175,000 cases. About a quarter of these were children under 5 years old." 🎁🔗

@robbieandrew.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

"The capacity of operating and planned sodium-ion gigafactories in China has risen to more than 400 gigawatt hours, compared with just 11 in the rest of the world" 🎁🔗

@elinlb.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

I am in Bangkok for the @ipcc.bsky.social 2nd Lead Author Meeting for the 7th Assessment Report, Working Group III Mitigation of Climate Change. The ongoing flooding of Bangkok is a stark reminder of the consequences of extreme weather events.

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@glenpeters.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

Is it now that we start to see the real consequences of the combined conflicts in the Middle East and Russia? It seems that capacity outside of the Middle East and Russia is being reached, with prices rising accordingly. But for how long and how far?

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@robbieandrew.bsky.socialReposted by @cicero.oslo.no

"If the move survives expected legal challenges, it could also prevent future administrations from regulating greenhouse gas emissions from power plants." "Legal experts have called the plan vulnerable."

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