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Russia Watcher

@russiawatcher.bsky.social

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The Russia Watcher is a daily tracking survey of Russian public opinion, run by political scientists from the Department of Politics at Princeton University. Learn more at http://russiawatcher.com.

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@russiawatcher.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:48 PM

So these results should be treated with caution & may differ from estimates derived from a more sophisticated weighting procedure. But the fact that other surveys (including the state-run VTsIOM) show similar declines is telling and increases our confidence in the pattern. /END

@russiawatcher.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:48 PM

We caution that although these data are weighted by sociodemographic characteristics (to make our online sample more closely approximate the Russian population in socio-demographic terms) there were some changes in sampling methods by our online provider over the period. 6/

@russiawatcher.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:48 PM

Consistent with this explanation, we find that Putin's approval dropped more among those respondents who rely most on the internet as a source of news. 5/

@russiawatcher.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:48 PM

One plausible explanation is that the drop in Putin's approval rating is due (at least in part) to frustration over the state's tightening of internet restrictions and blocking of Telegram, which became most acute in April 2026 (meduza.io/en/feature/2...) 4/

@russiawatcher.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:48 PM

Strong approval declines and weak approval increases noticeably. By September the president's approval ratings bounced back quite a bit, but are still much lower than they were at this time last year. 3/

@russiawatcher.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:48 PM

The drop is barely noticeable when looking at aggregate approve/disapprove ratings from our survey (first fig.) but can be seen when breaking down the data into *degrees* of approval/ disapproval along the full Likert scale (second fig.) 2/

@russiawatcher.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:48 PM

🛑 Update on public opinion in Russia. We document a steady decline in approval of Vladimir Putin from roughly April through July -- consistent with polling data from other sources, including FOM and VTsIOM (meduza.io/en/news/2026...) 1/

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