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Manuel Schechtl

@schechtlm.eurosky.social

667 Following1.8k Followers

Assistant Prof. at UNC-Chapel Hill | previously Postdoc at the Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality | PhD from Humboldt University Berlin | inequality, wealth, poverty, taxes, redistribution, social & public policy. https://schechtl.github.io

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@stone-lis.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 3:07 PMReposted by @schechtlm.eurosky.social

Applications are open for our postdoctoral scholars program! These 2-year positions start in August 2027 and are based at the Stone Center. One is focused on wealth inequality, the other more broadly on economic inequality. Deadline is Nov. 2 -- apply now! @thegraduatecenter.bsky.social

@schechtlm.eurosky.socialSep 29, 2026, 10:11 PMReposted by @schechtlm.eurosky.social

Timely new paper in @socioeconreview.bsky.social: Does rising wealth concentration undermine American democracy?

Using variation across the 50 U.S. states, results reveal a clear, negative effect of millionaire wealth concentration on democratic performance.

doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwag058

Wealth concentration in the United States has reached heights not seen since the Gilded Age, renewing fears that concentrated economic power may undermine democracy. Yet empirical research linking inequality to democratic erosion remains inconclusive, partly because most studies focus on cross-country comparison and examine income rather than wealth. This study exploits variation across fifty U.S. states; each
embedded in a common federal framework but differing in political and economic dynamics. To estimate the exogenous effect of rising wealth concentration on democratic backsliding, I develop a shift-share instrument of state-level millionaire wealth shares. Results reveal a clear, negative effect on democratic performance. Causal mediation analysis demonstrates that the effect is mediated by the share of seats held by
Republicans in state legislatures, pointing to a mechanism of elite influence through partisan channels. These findings demonstrate that subnational wealth disparities, and their convergence with partisan politics, actively erode American democratic institutions.
@schechtlm.eurosky.socialSep 29, 2026, 10:11 PM

Bottom line: debates about economic inequality are often about fairness or growth. This paper suggests they should also be about democracy. Policies that shape wealth concentration, like wealth and estate or inheritance taxes, are democracy policies too.

@schechtlm.eurosky.socialSep 29, 2026, 10:11 PM

Effects seem concentrated in voting rights and gerrymandering: more restrictive participation rules and maps that make outcomes less representative.

Coefficient plot showing the estimated effect of the millionaire wealth share on four areas of state democracy, estimated by two-stage least squares with 95% confidence intervals. Elections: about −0.03, interval includes zero. Responsiveness: about −0.06, interval includes zero. Gerrymandering: about −0.10, interval below zero. Voting rights: about −0.16, the largest effect, interval clearly below zero. Rising wealth concentration mainly erodes democracy through restrictions on voting rights and gerrymandering.
@schechtlm.eurosky.socialSep 29, 2026, 10:11 PM

Where millionaire wealth concentration rose most, state democracy declined most. A shift-share instrument suggests that a 10-point rise in the millionaire wealth share lowers a state's democracy score by ~1.6 SD.

Binned scatter plot of millionaire wealth share (horizontal axis, about 44% to 65%) against the state electoral democracy index (vertical axis, higher values mean more democratic). The plot adjusts for average wealth and year fixed effects. A downward-sloping fitted line shows that states with higher wealth concentration have lower democracy scores. The coefficient is −0.42 and statistically significant: a one-standard-deviation increase in the millionaire wealth share is associated with a 0.42 standard deviation lower democracy score.
@schechtlm.eurosky.socialSep 29, 2026, 10:11 PM

Is this the new Gilded Age? Wealth concentration has surged: between 2000 and 2020, the share of wealth held by millionaires rose in almost all states.

Scatter plot of U.S. states comparing the share of wealth held by millionaire households in 2000 (horizontal axis) with the same share in 2020 (vertical axis). Bubbles are sized by the number of households, and a diagonal line marks no change. Almost every state sits above the line, meaning wealth concentration rose between 2000 and 2020. Ohio is the main exception, falling below the line. West Virginia has the lowest concentration in both years (about 35% in 2000, about 39% in 2020). California, New York, Hawaii, New Jersey and Connecticut have the highest, at roughly 75–78% in 2020. North Dakota and Oklahoma show some of the largest increases.
@schechtlm.eurosky.socialSep 29, 2026, 10:11 PM

Timely new paper in @socioeconreview.bsky.social: Does rising wealth concentration undermine American democracy?

Using variation across the 50 U.S. states, results reveal a clear, negative effect of millionaire wealth concentration on democratic performance.

doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwag058

Wealth concentration in the United States has reached heights not seen since the Gilded Age, renewing fears that concentrated economic power may undermine democracy. Yet empirical research linking inequality to democratic erosion remains inconclusive, partly because most studies focus on cross-country comparison and examine income rather than wealth. This study exploits variation across fifty U.S. states; each
embedded in a common federal framework but differing in political and economic dynamics. To estimate the exogenous effect of rising wealth concentration on democratic backsliding, I develop a shift-share instrument of state-level millionaire wealth shares. Results reveal a clear, negative effect on democratic performance. Causal mediation analysis demonstrates that the effect is mediated by the share of seats held by
Republicans in state legislatures, pointing to a mechanism of elite influence through partisan channels. These findings demonstrate that subnational wealth disparities, and their convergence with partisan politics, actively erode American democratic institutions.
@simonweschle.bsky.socialSep 15, 2026, 6:42 PMReposted by @schechtlm.eurosky.social

We're hiring at UNC! Assistant or Associate level, any area of comparative politics.

unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/325...

members.apsanet.org/CAREERS/eJob...

If you have any questions, get in touch with me!

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