@fiftyplusone.news
polling aggregation and data-driven journalism from the former research team of fivethirtyeight. https://www.FiftyPlusOne.news
@fiftyplusone.newsNew Trendline: we preview key Supreme Court cases this year, and take a look at how voters feel about the issues before the Court this term.
@fiftyplusone.newsExciting update: FiftyPlusOne is partnering with @ms.now for polling and election analysis ahead of the midterms! See below for more details.
@fiftyplusone.newsA dispatch from the Methods Desk: we're no longer accepting campaign internals conducted without a professional pollster. Find out why:
@fiftyplusone.newsNew Trendline: Where do voters stand on the most consequential ballot measures this year? We dig in to all the latest polling on taxes, voting, transgender issues, and more.
@fiftyplusone.newsFlock cameras are everywhere lately, both literally and in the news. Today's Trendline takes a look at how unpopular these cameras are with Americans across the political spectrum, and what uses are (and aren't) acceptable.
@fiftyplusone.newsNew Trendline this week: where do Hispanic voters stand ahead of the election?
@fiftyplusone.newsIf it feels like every poll you’ve seen this year came from a Democratic campaign and showed a toss-up, you’re not imagining things. Dem. internals make up an all-time high share of internals this year, and are showing better margins than 2018 in red states.
blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/why-does-e...
@fiftyplusone.newsAccording to our election model at FiftyPlusOne.news, control of the U.S. Senate now leans toward Democrats. The party has been buoyed by new polls showing it ahead in TX, IA, AK, OH, & ME, and has a 64% chance to control the chamber after November's midterms
fiftyplusone.news/forecast/sen...
@fiftyplusone.newsNew: Ahead of the midterms, who do (and don't) Americans trust for accurate information?
@fiftyplusone.newsWe’re adding a new scatter chart to our forecast for subscribers only that shows how the national popular vote in the 2026 midterm election translates to seats in the House and Senate. fiftyplusone.news/forecast/house
@fiftyplusone.newsNew: Concern about corruption in the U.S. government just hit a record high, and exceeds concerns in virtually every other country on Earth. Are voters right to be worried?
@fiftyplusone.newsNew: As the trade wars heat up, even Americans approve of Canada's retaliatory tariffs.
@fiftyplusone.newsTrendline this week: rural and suburban voters are looking more Democratic on the generic ballot than at any time in the last decade.
@fiftyplusone.newsWe are permanently banning one firm and suspending another for apparent ethics violations. Read more:
@fiftyplusone.newsNew: Independent voters could decide the midterms. And on every metric we looked at, they are unhappy.
@fiftyplusone.newsFiftyPlusOne is very excited to release our polling averages for Senate and governor elections today! There's a new page on the website just for general election averages, and a blog post with some takeaways on the current state of the race here:
@fiftyplusone.news50+1 is very happy to publish this analysis of 2026 primary candidates from @meredithconroy.bsky.social @tsyang27.bsky.social & Cooper Burton, following the tradition of similar projects from FiveThirtyEight.
What types of candidates are winning 2026 primaries?
blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...
