Professor of political science at UW-Madison. Director of Elections Research Center. First gen college grad. Native Ohioan.
It feels good to reject an academic paper for the old fashioned reason of low quality rather than for inappropriate use of AI

@bcburden.bsky.social
Professor of political science at UW-Madison. Director of Elections Research Center. First gen college grad. Native Ohioan.
It feels good to reject an academic paper for the old fashioned reason of low quality rather than for inappropriate use of AI
Embarrassing and sad. I have met with these observers multiple times over the years. The US course expect other countries to allow our observers. www.ms.now/news/trump-m...
I beg our high quality media outlets to stop shilling for Amazon
Trump this week: Again promised every adult $5,000 to vote for his party Offered another private dinner with people who buy the most of his crypto coin Used more government money to run campaign ads for himself
Not much polling bias in recent midterm elections (screen shot from the other place)
Funny for him to say House is a sure thing for Dems when Cook’s ratings have the party barely winning a majority if they split the toss-ups. The trick is that the toss-ups will not divide equally but we can’t say exactly which will go D versus R. thehill.com/homenews/cam...
That’s one way to celebrate America 250
My 2026 vote goes to the party that can tame blinding car headlights
A violation of free speech, the First Amendment, and good government
A steady flow of pro-Tiffany ads have been coming my way for weeks by mail, TV, & digital (much of it from super PAC & 501c allies). Crowley ad during last night’s Emmys was one of the first things I’ve seen from his camp.
Fargo area folks, the Department of Political Science & Public Policy at NDSU is hosting a public lecture by @bcburden.bsky.social, about the 2026 US Election, on Oct 1, at 6pm, in Minard Hall (Room 230). Hope to see you there!
What risks could threaten the integrity of the 2026 midterms, and how can we prepare?
Join election experts on 10/9/2026 for a timely discussion of the challenges ahead and how election officials, lawyers, journalists, and voters can respond.
Register: go.wisc.edu/t38psa
Since becoming president again, Trump has promised:
-$5000 stimulus checks via "DOGE dividend"
-$2000 stimulus checks via "tariff dividend"
-$1000+ checks via "savings" from expiring ACA subsidies
-$5000 "dividend" if Rs win midterms
No checks have been issued
www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-magi...
It helps one party in particular right now, but scholars like me tend to think this is right call to center parties in campaign finance apnews.com/article/supr...
That red line is something
Flight is delayed. Gate agents have set up a game of cornhole with about 20 players to determine who gets upgrades.
Uplifting to get a royalty statement with a negative balance
An effective midterm convention could spotlight patriotic Americans praising the GOP’s accomplishments & raising fears about socialism. One that puts an unpopular president front and center hurts more than it helps. www.usatoday.com/story/news/p...
Nice analysis of one firm’s polling in the Wisconsin primary: miss on Crowley mostly due to late-deciding voters & a sample that was too young
I have reanalyzed polling microdata from two surveys in Wisconsin, generously shared with me by State Navigate, and put the results up Strength In Numbers for all to learn from. As far as I know this is the only public autopsy from Tuesday's miss www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-08-13...
Fixing a point about the statewide party slates I miffed last night: Dem lineup: 1 white man (Kaul alongside Crowley, Godlewski, Zamarripa, Xiong) GOP lineup: 5 white men (Tiffany, Varnam, Toney, Schroeder, Leiber) Dems won all five last time Trump was in office (2018)