🚨New Substack Series 🚨 I'm starting a new series of articles on liberalism and two-way globalisation, called "Survival & Success" Read the first one here, that focuses in on the crisis in Ceuta.

If the polls are anything to go by this is money well spent

Unfortunately yes… though one could go with an election or a referendum to authorise negotiations. The real sticking point will be to make sure the UK doesn’t leave again if it does come back…

I suppose we have to accept that re entry needs a referendum but the truly British way should be to have a general election with it as the central issue

I’m walking around a German city looking for a cafe for breakfast and so having too many thoughts about Varieties of Capitalism

If you’re in the UK, when the effectively nationalised train system operated by outsourced firms deems it. If you’re in Italy switch to Italotren…

When I arrive with time to spare I make a habit of eating schnitzel at Budapest airport…

If a ceasefire is denied by both warring parties, did it ever exist ?

I expect them to move to other data centres but it’s amusing nonetheless

But a hint at why social listening tools are bad guides to decision making.

Les deux guettes is a marvellous name for a cafe

🧐 - perhaps someone could try this in Spain where there’s always been controversy over CIS which shows PSOE much higher than others, gets regional elections wrong most of the time, bit is often more accurate at generals. Also in US where they talk about “fundamentals” a lot

I think Putin’s thinking that - Trump doesn’t go that deep bit of you’ve ever been up against a narcissist the pattern’s obvious enough

Yeah he could because what he wants is the adulation and then high of doing a deal.

Russia supplies Iran with missiles that cause gulf states to use patriot stocks that then can’t be sent to Ukraine.

Good thread on AI… One way of looking at it is that the ai buildout has turned low cost high margin businesses (Google, Meta) with moats into low margin high cost ones without them.

Perhaps a very large state investment in nuclear fusion?

I just confused myself there too - compulsory shared parental leave probably cuts growth a little but i’m in favour…

Aha - i got the opposite end of the stick! Still Duncan’s q is really hard, i still haven’t found one. i can find the opposite easily (eg higher military spending though it’s a drag on growth). Perhaps compulsory paternity leave shares but i’m not sure that’d be more than a short term drag on growth

For the commenters here: I had thought John was generally in favour of taxibg the wealthy, i’m expressing potential suprise that counts as a policy he dislikes

You dislike high taxes on wealthy?