HOW TO GET RICH IN AMERICA In today's piece, I wrote about what happens when owning things is rewarded over doing things, the generational divides it creates, the casino economy that emerges from it, specifically the yolofolio, and how it's changing the way we think about work.

Is AI Going to Destroy Us or Not? New essay compiling some of the great research around AI and the labor market, the whole token-maxxing thing, who gets to be wealthy in the age of AI, what a job means in a time of enormous change, and what to do about all of it. Enjoy!

We've built an entire economy around selling people the feeling of control through bets, hacks, subscriptions, and optimization. But the model only works if people stay desperate. New essay on control and agency, financial nihilism, belief markets, the manosphere, and spectacle during war.

Some exciting public events over the next few weeks!! Come hang out if you can! 🙂 March 29th, Los Angeles: with Kai Ryssdal and David Brancaccio at the Aratani Theater April 19th, Boulder CO: with Planet Money at Boulder Theater April 20th, Albuequerque, New Mexico: with Planet Money Links ⬇️

Betting on Jesus returning by 2027 and the Backstreet Boys singing about crypto are kind of the same thing. Speculation and nostalgia are both exit strategies from the present, and neither provides answers. New piece on what happens when the economy grows without… people.

HOW BETTING BECAME POLITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE In today's New York Times piece, I wrote about how prediction markets validate political events before Congress can respond, and how those market outcomes can end up deciding what's legitimate.

New piece attempting to synthesize the past few weeks: media logic, market structure, geopolitical trust, and lessons from history. The bond market, the Fed, Japan, AI hype vs. energy reality, and what happens when the infrastructure that made the show possible starts changing channels.

NEW INTERVIEW I sat down with San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin to talk about what really matters in 2026. Are we headed for the 1970s or the 1990s? Why does the economy keep not breaking? And why should we count cranes?