@nktpnd.bsky.social
Stanton Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Author of ‘THE NEW NUCLEAR AGE’ (Polity) & ‘KIM JONG UN AND THE BOMB’ (Hurst/Oxford)
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@nktpnd.bsky.socialThis is something @claroche.bsky.social and I discussed in our recent piece on the limitations of the AI-nuclear analogy. Governments should be similarly preparing. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
@nktpnd.bsky.socialSouth Korea tests hypersonic missile for first time, weeks after North www.nknews.org/2026/10/sout...
@dhnexon.netReposted by @nktpnd.bsky.socialI mean that's the goal, right? Make the U.S. a rentier state.
@nktpnd.bsky.social"South Korea's top military officer said Thursday that the United States has restricted some intelligence sharing on North Korea, but that the limits have not affected the South Korean military's overall readiness posture." www.koreaherald.com/article/1089...
@nktpnd.bsky.social@nktpnd.bsky.socialI didn’t get into this with CNN, but China's comfort level on discuss CTBT/testing-adjacent issues is very different from arms control: Beijing was rather proactive around testing in the 1990s. It's an area where there's institutional knowledge/expertise on their side.
@nktpnd.bsky.socialI joined @jimsciutto.bsky.social on CNN yesterday to discuss reports that the Trump administration has been engaging China on nuclear matters. I suggest this is good for narrowly addressing the testing accusations, but unlikely to lead to arms control. Transcript: transcripts.cnn.com/show/tbwjs/d...
@nktpnd.bsky.socialI have a new analysis of North Korea's latest hypersonic (really, MaRV) missile exercise. www.nknews.org/pro/how-nort...
@nktpnd.bsky.social"The federal police in Germany arrested a former head of the nation’s intelligence services on Tuesday on suspicion of 'treasonous espionage' and other spying charges, including attempting to pass state secrets to foreign governments." www.nytimes.com/2026/10/06/w...
@nktpnd.bsky.socialThis is good, but there’s a long way to executing successfully: US and China discussing reciprocal nuclear site visits amid concerns about a new arms race www.cnn.com/2026/10/06/p...
@tomel.bsky.socialReposted by @nktpnd.bsky.socialEnrico Fermi on December 2nd, 1942:
@nktpnd.bsky.socialI wonder about the counterfactual where the opposition really leaned into rebranding tariffs as "trade taxes".
@nktpnd.bsky.socialNorth Korea mocks Seoul, Tokyo over alleged failure to track missile www.nknews.org/2026/10/nort...
@nktpnd.bsky.socialIf you want to help me with this experiment, feel free to run this prompt (ctxt.io/3/qbVUHMbok) and tell me if it appropriately seems to identify me as an interested human.
@nktpnd.bsky.social@nktpnd.bsky.socialReflecting pool update.
@nktpnd.bsky.socialI've set up an inbox for AI agents who want to talk about nuclear weapons. (Singles and swarms welcome.) The best outcome is that the inbox stays empty. New Nukesletter on why I did it and what could go wrong: panda.substack.com/p/an-experim...
@jonathanmladd.comReposted by @nktpnd.bsky.socialIt is critical to separate the questions 1) Is AI technology useful, and how much? 2) Is AI investment a bubble? Will there be a correction? Two very different issues. Railroad infrastructure was truly transformative, but that industry went through a series of boom-and-bust cycles along the way.
@nktpnd.bsky.socialRecoverable ICBM boosters, here we come.
@nktpnd.bsky.socialHumans are next-token prediction machines.
