John Wiseman

@lemonodor.bsky.social

Persistent sousveiller. Walt Disney R&D Imagineer. Runs GPSJAM.org. Signal: wiseman.04 https://heavymeta.org

@lemonodor.bsky.social

While an agent running on 150 off-brand Android TVs might be less capable than a frontier model, a frontier model can give the lesser agents an encyclopedia of cyber attacks, custom offensive tools, knowledge of network topology etc. to increase their capabilities.

@lemonodor.bsky.social

Then there's a post like this showing 6 European reddits with significant decreases in activity. But it's a great example of the Texas Sharpshooter fallacy–they checked 968 reddits and found ~90 with declines. Then this post cherrypicked 6 because r/homelab at -71% doesn't really fit the claim.

Screenshot of a post on X by The Irish Politics Newsletter (@IrishPoliticsNL), Oct 12, 2026, with 368.4K views: "Reddit data show a massive decline in activity on some subs since the attack on Russian data centres. The Irish politics sub was down as much as 80% from one center." Attached is a dark table titled "Europe: EU and non-EU communities." It lists 6 subreddits, each with a correlation value r and its percent change in activity after each data-centre attack (Sasovo, 8 Oct; Kaluga, 9 Oct; Vladimir, 11 Oct): - r/de (Germany): r −0.535; −32%, −24%, −20% - r/askarussian (Russia): r −0.474; −50%, −61%, −30% - r/irishpolitics (Ireland): r −0.384; −34%, −80%, −15% - r/czech (Czechia): r −0.237; −19%, −10%, −16% - r/sweden (Sweden): r −0.179; −9%, −6%, −14% - r/spainpolitics (Spain): r −0.097; −7%, −23%, −19% Below the table: "Method: stacked event study. Matched weekday + UTC hour across the prior three weeks; immediate pre/post comparisons; known Reddit outage hours removed; 10-hour and broad-activity sensitivity checks."
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