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Philipp Maier

@pmaier1971.bsky.social

80 Following1.1k Followers

Economic data releases and news, automated with R.

Data from http://fred.stlouisfed.org.
Code/details: http://whyitmatters.netlify.app

All views and errors are mine.

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@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 12, 2026, 12:18 PM

Bitcoin at $83683.56; Ethereum at $2535.04. Bitcoin is about 8.3% up from a month ago, and about -22% down from a year ago. Ethereum is about 0.4% up from a month ago and about -35% down from a year ago. #crypto #econsky

Coinbase.Bitcoin.png
@carlquintanilla.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 3:31 PMReposted by @pmaier1971.bsky.social

GOLDMAN DESK: “.. I understand why the dark blue line makes folks uncomfortable with how top heavy S&P is. With that said, I’m still not inclined to pick a big fight with the light blue line ..” [Pasquariello]

@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 12:18 PM

Comparing the evolution of job posting on Indeed for Germany and the UK since the pandemic. All posting indexed to 100% on Feb. 1, 2020 #econsky #indeed

UK.Indeed.NewJobs.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 12:18 PM

At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q3 2026 stands at at 3.59%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky

US.Activity.GDPNow.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 12:18 PM

The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 08 October was at 7.424%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has increased by about 0.04 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky

US.Housing.30YMortgageRate.Daily.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 12:18 PM

The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.3234 USD/GBP last week (02 October). Relative to a month ago, this is -2.1% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has fallen by -1.8% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky

XR.USDGBP.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 12:18 PM

Last week (02 October) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1259 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. -3.1%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about -4.2% lower. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky

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@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 8:55 PM

Average US 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage last week at 7.4%, up 0.12 p.p. from prior week. 5/1 ARM at 6.1% #mortgage #househunters #econsky

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@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 8:53 PM

Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 02 Oct #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky

XREmergingEconomies.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 1:12 PM

Longer-term view of Weekly Claims data. Relative to the peak during the pandemic, where the 4-week moving average of continued claims reached 21243K in the week of 16 May 2020, today's reading of 1711K continued is a decline of about -92% #claims #econsky

US.Activity.ContinuedClaims.4W.MA.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 1:12 PM

Weekly Initial Claims (first-time applications for unemployment benefits), a proxy for layoffs, decrease to 197K (down -2K from prior week); 4-week moving average of continued claims decrease from 1723.2K to 1711K in Oct 2026 #claims #econsky

US.Activity.InitialClaims.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 12:18 PM

Bitcoin at $83239.49; Ethereum at $2572.06. Bitcoin is about 6% up from a month ago, and about -26% down from a year ago. Ethereum is about 3.3% up from a month ago and about -38% down from a year ago. #crypto #econsky

Coinbase.Bitcoin.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 8:55 PM

Is the change in gas prices affecting driving habits? Vehicle Miles Traveled in Aug 2026 at 278.7 billions of miles, up 546 million miles from prior month #econsky

US.Transportation.VehicleMilesTravelled.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 8:54 PM

Brent Crude oil prices for the month of Oct 2026 averaged $125.44 per barrel. Relative to the prior month, that's down $-0.07 per barrel #oil #brent #econsky

EU.Commodities.Brent.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 8:53 PM

Visualizing currency movements of key US trading partners since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 02 Oct #fx #econsky

XRAnalysis.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 8:53 PM

Uncertainty Update: VIX at 15.01; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 371.3, up 113.4 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m

US.VIX.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 1:12 PM

The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index in Oct 2026 came in at -0.49, up from -0.51 the prior month.Negative values indicate financial conditions that are looser than average. #econsky

US.Banking.ChicagoFinancialConditionsIndex.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 1:11 PM

On 02 Oct the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 129.7052. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 2.1%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -1.27% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky

US.XR.NominalEmergingMarketIndex.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 8:55 PM

The Kansas City Financial Stress index in Sep 2026 at -0.99, down 0 from prior month. Positive values indicate #stress above the long-run average, while negative values signify below-average stress #econsky

US.Banking.Kansas.FinancialConditionsIndex.png
@pmaier1971.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 8:53 PM

7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $6.2, down -18.3 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $2.49 increase. #econsky

US.DieselPrices.png
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