Your Canadian Public Aggregator For Polling, Data, and Other Related Canadian Content // 338Canada Contributor // Consider Supporting: http://ko-fi.com/polling 🇨🇦🇺🇦
And with 38% of the vote in

@canadianpolling.bsky.social
Your Canadian Public Aggregator For Polling, Data, and Other Related Canadian Content // 338Canada Contributor // Consider Supporting: http://ko-fi.com/polling 🇨🇦🇺🇦
And with 38% of the vote in
And with 31% of the vote in, the numbers are, again, barely changed
25% of the polls are in, results are staying largely the same
"eugh it's actually just starting" shut the fuck up, genuinely
Get absolutely fucked separatists Glad we can put this in the trash finally
And with 20% of the polls reporting
First results are in!
Mississauga - Mayoral Polling: Crombie: 34% Tedjo: 28% Parrish: 26% Damerla: 5% Mainstreet / Oct 18, 2026
(Models Available For Subscribers)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 46% (+2)
CPC: 34% (-7)
NDP: 9% (+3)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)
Canada Pulse / October 8, 2026 / n=1229 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 46% (+2)
NDP: 43% (-2)
GRN: 8% (-)
Others: 2%
Angus Reid / October 19, 2026 / n=793 / Online
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/bc
Avi Lewis Favourability Polling: 🟢 Favourable: 33% 🔴 Unfavourable: 28% ⚪️ Net: +5% Liaison / Oct 17, 2026
Pierre Poilievre Favourability Polling: 🔴 Unfavourable: 53% 🟢 Favourable: 34% ⚪️ Net: -19% Liaison / Oct 17, 2026
Mark Carney Approval Polling: 🟢 Approve: 64% ⚫️ Disapprove: 28% ⚪️ Net: +36% Liaison / Oct 17, 2026
(Models Available To Subscribers)
Ontario Provincial Polling:
PCPO: 40% (-3)
OLP: 32% (+2)
ONDP: 20% (+1)
GPO: 4% (-1)
Others: 4%
Abacus / Oct 13, 2026 / n=2291 / Online
(% Change with 2025 Election)
Check out more ON details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/ontario/
(Models Available For Subscribers)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 45% (+1)
CPC: 30% (-11)
NDP: 14% (+8)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 2% (+1)
Liaison / October 17, 2026 / n=1452 / MOE 2.5% / IVR
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
(Models Available To Subscribers)
Alberta Provincial Polling:
NDP: 50% (+6)
UCP: 46% (-7)
Others: 4%
Pollara / Oct 15, 2026 / n=1347 / Online
(% Change With 2023 Election)
Check out AB model details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/alberta
Anyways, it's shameful Alberta is forcing us through this shit (I'd say the same thing about Quebec) - and it'll be nice when this is dead in the ground after tonight
That's that for all the remaining separatism polls Final average sits at 73% remain - 27% independence My personal prediction is that this is going to end up being a 75-25 in favour of remaining My other prediction is the terrible one that it ends up being 63-37
⚫️Peter Guthrie: 15% ⚫️Paul Hinman: 12% ⚫️Jeffrey Rath: 12% ⚫️Cameron Davies: 12% Research Co. / Oct 18, 2026
Those who say they trust (X) on the issue of Alberta Separating From Canada: 🔴Mark Carney: 54% 🔵Stephen Harper: 51% 🔵Pierre Poilievre: 44% 🟠Naheed Neshi: 43% 🟠Rachel Notley: 40% 🔵Danielle Smith: 38% 🔵Jason Kenney: 37% 🟠Avi Lewis: 19%