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Phillips OBrien

@phillipspobrien.bsky.social

500 Following55.8k Followers

Professor of Strategic Studies, Author, Lover of Sicily. Purveyor of a “righteous-but-rational vibe”

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@patrickneithard.eurosky.socialOct 10, 2026, 10:24 AMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

Phillips O’Brien on TrumpPutin DieselPact (traitortraitortraitor) [Now, the US is coming out as a more direct supporter of Russia—and in the process it is blaming the Ukrainians for that. The diesel issue is not an end in itself, it is a means to an end. Understand that, and you understand it all.]

@warriorseamstress.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 11:29 AMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

🎯👇 "The truth of 🇺🇸 behavior has been that 🇺🇸 has been helping Russia, but until now more by hobbling Ukraine and its partners. Now, 🇺🇸 is coming out as a more direct supporter of Russia. The diesel issue is not an end in itself, it is a means to an end. Understand that, and you understand it all."

@tapani-hopkins.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 1:00 PMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

The positive side is that it looks (to non-expert me) like Russia is desperate for the help. And so is the current USA leadership.

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 12:51 PM

Maybe the most amazing aspect of the Russo-Ukraine War is that Russia is getting backing from both China and the USA, the two largest powers of the moment--and Ukraine could still emerge triumphant as long as Europe backs it stoutly.

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 7:20 AM

New primer about the news from the last few hours that the US is getting back to business with Russia. This is not Trump being erratic, it is not about diesel, it is not a small move. It is about the US moving to a more active position of helping Putin. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/this-is-ab...

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 7:38 PM

Christ, they are using this to start the process of ending sanctions on Russia.

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 7:02 PM

Trump’s love for Putin is the only pure thing in his life.

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 9:00 AM

Latest piece. Much of the US discussion is unwilling to accept the end of the American Age in the Persian Gulf. However, look closely and the states themselves are acknowledging it, even undermining the US blockade on the assumption the US is in retreat. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/this-is-wh...

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 6:46 PM

This is how you admit you are strategically screwed, with bluster.

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 8, 2026, 12:58 PM

Just a reminder it was exactly three months ago that Trump promised Ukraine its own license to build Patriot Interceptors and one month since the Lindsey Graham tariff bill was signed. How’s all that support for Ukraine going, Trump apologists?

@mkrebs.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 4:36 PMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

"It could take a generation to recover from this."

@peternimmo.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 4:28 PMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

They're getting as bad as Putin's Russia

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 3:29 PM

Corruption of this kind is why the Democrats need to freeze or cut back US defense spending of they take control of Congress. If you actually care about US security, funding this is destructive.

@j-leslie3k.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 12:38 PMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

"Trump is talking about extending the war after the midterms and has refused to end it before now." "Democrats might be willing to use Congress’s nuclear weapon against the war—defunding parts of the military. Indeed, I hope that they would"

@brendanamartin.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 11:53 AMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

“Clearly the US got spooked. However, the real story is that the US, 15 months after Spiderweb, seems to be in no better a place to protect its advanced aircraft from short-range drone attack than the Russians were in early 2025.”

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 6:49 AM

Finally, Hegseth gave what might be the worst speech in the history of the Department of Defense. Considering his earlier speeches, that is saying something.

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 7, 2026, 6:49 AM

Midweek update just out (half free). Trump seems to have lost his political touch at exactly the worst time (for him). His political handling of the Iran war is the worst of his career. Also, more winning as the US hastily pulls its bombers out of the UK. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/midweek-up...

@phillipspobrien.bsky.socialOct 6, 2026, 6:59 PM

Yeah, it’s exactly what he said, but in this case the White House knows it was a colossal screw up, so is lying its ass off.

@timothysnyder.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 11:34 PMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

Yes, the White House sometimes serves as a branch Kremlin press office, which would be humiliating for anyone who had the slightest hint of patriotism or for that matter personal dignity.

@bjkeefe.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 11:16 AMReposted by @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

Bonus! At the top of this newsletter is a link to BookBub, which will allow you to buy this ebook by Phillips for only $2.99.

Show your support for affordability! It makes Donnie cry! ;)

Some details in comments below.

#booksky

Cover of the book "The Strategists" by Phillips Payson O’Brien
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