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Tony Yates

@t0nyyates.bsky.social

1.9k Following35k Followers

Economist. Ex Prof / central banker. Macro, politics, money, central banks, finance, Brexit, covid, AI, climbing, MUFC, Blueskyism. Don't have a podcast.

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@mcopelov.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 11:23 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

Everybody & every one of our institutions needs to get off twitter. It’s 2026, & there are Nazis at the Nazi Bar. Look around.

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 11:22 PM

A lot of senior economists posting like there is no issue. They wouldn’t post on EJMR but somehow don’t see that there is a problem with X.

@sethcotlar.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 9:16 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

The Trumpian GOP has become an epistemological sinkhole where any semblance of truth goes to die. At some point one would hope that such poor epistemological hygiene would come back to bite them. Time will tell. bsky.app/profile/judd...

@jakemgrumbach.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 11:03 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

Economists really need to get off twitter. EconTwitter is now just like “bad instruments are DEI and women ate stupid” interspersed with a few good economists talking about the latest Claude update

Labrador Skeptic & @SaysSimulation
X.com
This is a perfect example of DEl in the wild.
Women gets Harvard PhD, Princeton postdoc, NY Fed job. Impeccable credentials - on paper.
Writes post demonstrating that she doesn't under the basics of causality & statistics. There's also a very strong urban class component
1/
Natalia Emanuel * @NataliaHEmanuel • 2d
Coffee shops boost innovation. 10% more
Starbucks in an area -> 3-4% more inventions.
People gather over a cuppa. They share ideas, discuss how to untangle a knotty problem, help se...
log (Starbucks + 1)
County & Year FEs
Local Time-Varying Controls
Num. Counties * Years
Num. Counties
Num. Instruments
Adj. r2
Kleibergen-Paap Wald F-stat
Mean of Dep. Var.
(1)
1.319***
(0.231)
No
No
61480
3074
200
0.174
3.099
1.260
log(Patents)
(2)
0.419***
(0.0584)
Yes
No
61480
3074
200
-0.0141
1.616
1.260
(3)
0.370***
(0.0718)
Yes Yes
37464
2572
200
-0.0253
3.483
1.844
:Demosthenes Twin @DemosthenesT....9h X
Women really are retarded. This one has a phd from Harvard and still can't grasp simple concepts. She actually posted this thinking she was clever. A dimwit can see the glaring error of her simple thoughts.

(1)
log(Pate.
(2)
cks + 1)
1.319***
0.419**
(0.231)
(0.0584
Year FEs
No
Yes
-Varying Controls
No
No
aties * Years
61480
61480
aties
3074
3074
'uments
200
200

0.174
-0.0141
•Paap Wald F-stat
3.099
1.616
o. Var.
1.260
1.260
Natalia Emanuel @ @NataliaHE... • 2d
Coffee shops boost innovation. 10% more
Starbucks in an area --> 3-4% more inventions. ...Alpha Numer0@@alpha_numer0.thg
These are what you call middle-upper class townies. They look great on paper, seem competent when you talk to them, but have no idea how the world works or any real common sense as to how things relate to other things, with no real beliefs of their own to boot.
I see these types of women in software all the time - many of them were shoe-horned into their roles by a system that wanted to "promote women" at any cost, and really are not good at this kind of stuff or have any actual interest in improving the products they work on.
173
3114 il 61只企
@markjacob.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 10:56 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

Everyone should stop comparing Republicans to Nazis as soon as Republicans stop acting like Nazis.

@iguandonjim.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 9:24 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

Weetman skull-measuring incident has reminded me of people who used to "be a thing" on twitter. It's inspired me to do an occasional thread. Feel free to chip in with suggestions/lore/questions.

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 10:05 PM

[Amusing echo of Ezra Klein's comment that Charlie Kirk was 'doing politics the right way'... seeking spurious common purpose with your supposed enemies, always seeing fault in your supposed campaign friends].

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 9:56 PM

Yep - Braverman and others are not making idle chat about how people should see themselves. It's a precursor to insisting on hierarchies of citizenship, eroding the rights of non-whites.

@colin-fraser.netOct 11, 2026, 9:35 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

I like where she is going with this but I don’t think it quite works. Electrical outlets don’t say “I” and we still think they look like a little surprised guy. As long as you chat with it you’re going to imagine it’s a guy.

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 9:40 PM

Truth is probably somewhere between the two... it might have some effect on some people's psychosis. Points the way to other rules you could introduce like refusing to answer any questions you'd only ask if you were addressing a person, using impersonal language...

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 9:21 PM

Oh yes, I see the point

@jkass99.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 6:51 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

Anybody who does this deserves the outcome

@mcopelov.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 8:24 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

Again, we don't need chapters about "what DOGE might have been if the people involved had had any decency at all." We need to send these people to jail forever for unprecedented crimes. We really need to <not> spend anytime on "right idea, wrong execution" right now (bsky.app/profile/mcop...).

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 8:26 PM

A gulf created by revenues and recruitment made possible by 10 years of cheating. A game spoiled, time wasted. Liverpool should have been playing someone else.

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 8:22 PM

Not necessarily. You just relegate one less team from the P/L.

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 8:18 PM

I can see the logic... but all the encounters become so fake and loaded. Every game leads everyone to wonder what the counterfactual Man City would have done playing fair. Better to have them out of the equation and working their way up.

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 7:55 PM

I don't think it would be justice to dish out one relegation. They would be back within a year and continue harvesting the higher revenues that were produced by the years of cheating. Not enough of a payback or deterrant.

@nicholasgrossman.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 7:51 PMReposted by @t0nyyates.bsky.social

Uh oh, did someone’s website and personal account experience a big drop in activity after Ukraine hit a Russian data center?

Elon Musk: “Zelensky has gone too far”

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2109033017184338141
@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 7:52 PM

I'll probably watch eventually. My content monster must be fed.

@t0nyyates.bsky.socialOct 11, 2026, 7:49 PM

Felt the same. I just did not give a shit about the quest to start a fine food restaurant. Lots of good ingredients [excuse the pun] great acting, direction, novel use of confined spaces... but a dead end story.

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