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Alexander Clarkson

@aphclarkson.bsky.social

1k Following34.5k Followers

Senior Lecturer for European Politics and History at King's College London. Opinions my own. RT not always endorsement.
Also to be found at @APHClarkson
https://www.ullstein.de/werke/die-macht-der-diaspora/hardcover/978354910

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@dlknowles.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 3:54 PMReposted by @aphclarkson.bsky.social

I'm at a Republican Party event in Ohio. It has been going on for an hour, and took until now for anyone, the candidate for attorney general, Keith Faber, to mention Donald Trump once. And a minute later he said he supported the prosecution of January 6th rioters.

@swin24.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 9:26 PMReposted by @aphclarkson.bsky.social

Another terrible thing about the public livestream execution thing is that nobody was asking for it. It’s just being done to satisfy Trump’s far reaching bloodlust

@sathnam.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 2:59 PMReposted by @aphclarkson.bsky.social

Dear tv and radio producers. Thankyou for the invitation. But, no, I do not want to appear on your show to defend the idea that I am English, after 50 years of living and working here, because the increasingly feral right want to turn this into a "debate" and you cannot see how you're being played

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 7:35 PM

I'm old enough to remember how a deal to supply Yanukovych with cheap oil and gas in early December 2013 was declared to be another strategic master class from Putin

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 7:28 PM

The relationship between Putin and Trump in October 2026 has eerie echoes of the relationship between Putin and Yanukovych in October 2013

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:48 PM

But that is alongside Hormuz or Israel issues going to be part of a wider dynamic where Trump's geopolitical vandalism will boomerang back into US domestic politics and further exacerbate internal escalation within American society

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:42 PM

Depends which regional DSA. Some have been quite firmly pro-Putin. Just needs enough on the Left to pull together with everyone else, to provide an alternative to tankie nihilism

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:37 PM

Europe is waking up, but it is at the pace of European peacetime integration rather than at the pace of European warfare

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:37 PM

Unless in the next 2 years DSA, Dems and anti-Trump conservatives can work together to pull the US away from the internal chaos Trump and MAGA are steering it towards then the world is heading to a post-American order

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:32 PM

The heightened likelihood of America paralysed and facing internal chaos means every of America's allies need to develop capacities to secure their interests without Americans

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:30 PM

Yes. But can America?

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:29 PM

Violence on a wider scale

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:29 PM

We are much further on that front than would have been considered possible a decade ago

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:19 PM

I'd worry more about how chaotic and nasty US domestic politics is going to become after November

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:18 PM

Trump's brain is mush and his party is about to get wrecked in mid-terms. In about 3 months time he'll be so sucked into existential battles in US domestic politics that pretty much everyone outside America will ignore his strategic brainfarts

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:16 PM

The Putin regime's entire geopolitical strategy hinges on Trump and MAGA hacks ruling the US over decades when there are signs building of such a massive backlash against Trumpism in American society that it has the potential to viciously savage everyone associated with Trump

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:16 PM

Or an alternate possibility is that as with every previous supposed breakthrough between Russia and the US it eventually falls apart due to Trump's mush-brained ineptitude and binds Russia closely to a US President who is reaching Yeltsin levels of unpopularity among Americans

@aphclarkson.bsky.socialOct 10, 2026, 5:16 PM

The Ukrainians will keep hitting Russian refineries

@rincewind.runOct 9, 2026, 10:28 PMReposted by @aphclarkson.bsky.social

Ossoff is one of the very few people adequately channeling Evelyn Normielib these days the base doesn't want to hear entreaties to our better natures, they don't want to go high while the other side goes low, they want someone to come on the TV and go "these people are garbage" he's good at it

@euanmacdonald.bsky.socialOct 9, 2026, 8:34 PMReposted by @aphclarkson.bsky.social

Context:
300k tonnes of diesel = 93 million gallons.
US uses 160 to 170 million gallons per day - so 300k tonnes would last 13-14 hours.
Total order of 1.8 million tonnes = ~82 hours of US use = ~3 days 10 hours.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

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