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Noah Zucker

@noahzucker.com

443 Following1.5k Followers

Assistant professor at Princeton • PhD Columbia • political economy, climate change • www.noahzucker.com

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@noahzucker.comSep 23, 2026, 1:05 PMReposted by @noahzucker.com

🚨 Workforces exposed to globalization and decarbonization are often overwhelmingly male. New article at @ajpseditor.bsky.social with @rickyclark.bsky.social and @rkhoban.bsky.social asks how layoffs of these men shape voting: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

AJPS article: "Breadwinner Backlash." Abstract: Low-skilled men have long been vulnerable to globalization, decarbonization, and other forms of economic disruption. When shocks are realized, women often increase their paid labor to compensate for men's loss of income. We study how layoffs of low-skilled men and concurrent shifts in workforce composition toward women affect voting. We theorize that this labor market rebalancing produces “nostalgic” coalitions of men and women that seek a return to male-breadwinner family models. Such attitudes fuel right-wing movements that pledge to protect conservative gender roles. Evidence from local labor markets and voting in the United States over the last two decades, as well as a longitudinal study tracking individual Americans over several decades, support this theory. These findings contribute a new gender-based account of the globalization backlash.
@noahzucker.comSep 23, 2026, 1:05 PM

📈 In the U.S. case, we find that college/non-college-educated men and non-college educated women are more likely to vote GOP following layoffs of non-college-educated men. Crucially, that effect is most apparent where such layoffs coincide with growth in women's place in local workforces.

@noahzucker.comSep 23, 2026, 1:05 PM

Men across classes see such labor market transformations as indicative of costly cultural upheaval. Working-class women, while more economically autonomous, see the new arrangement as a rotten deal—working more but often earning less than what their husbands once did.

Reasons for moves to the right following layoffs of low-skilled men, plus shifts in workforce composition towards women:

Low-skilled men: status concerns + scarcity concerns
Low-skilled women: scarcity concerns
High-skilled men: status concerns
High-skilled women: no concerns
@noahzucker.comSep 23, 2026, 1:05 PM

We argue that layoffs of working-class men—amid growth in women's paid labor—give rise to "nostalgic" coalitions of men and women that seek to revive male-dominated industries and restore male-breadwinner family models. These coalitions bolster the electoral fortunes of right-wing parties.

@noahzucker.comSep 23, 2026, 1:05 PM

When working-class men lose work, women often take on more paid labor to compensate for losses of household income. In the U.S., coal mining towns have seen dramatic growth in female labor force participation as mines have shuttered: www.nytimes.com/2019/09/14/u...

Coal miners in Colorado.
@noahzucker.comSep 23, 2026, 1:05 PM

🚨 Workforces exposed to globalization and decarbonization are often overwhelmingly male. New article at @ajpseditor.bsky.social with @rickyclark.bsky.social and @rkhoban.bsky.social asks how layoffs of these men shape voting: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

AJPS article: "Breadwinner Backlash." Abstract: Low-skilled men have long been vulnerable to globalization, decarbonization, and other forms of economic disruption. When shocks are realized, women often increase their paid labor to compensate for men's loss of income. We study how layoffs of low-skilled men and concurrent shifts in workforce composition toward women affect voting. We theorize that this labor market rebalancing produces “nostalgic” coalitions of men and women that seek a return to male-breadwinner family models. Such attitudes fuel right-wing movements that pledge to protect conservative gender roles. Evidence from local labor markets and voting in the United States over the last two decades, as well as a longitudinal study tracking individual Americans over several decades, support this theory. These findings contribute a new gender-based account of the globalization backlash.
@noahzucker.comSep 1, 2026, 6:06 PM

Princeton Niehaus Center (@niehauscenter.bsky.social) now accepting applications for 2027–28 postdoctoral fellowships: niehaus.princeton.edu/fellowships

Deadline: Thursday, October 15, 2026

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