Semi-bluffs need fewer folds than you think.
$100 pot, $50 turn bet, 9 outs. A pure bluff needs 33% folds. But compared with checking for a free card, betting wins once he folds ~27.5%.
Run your draw: madmanpoker.netlify.app #poker #pokermath

Semi-bluffs need fewer folds than you think.
$100 pot, $50 turn bet, 9 outs. A pure bluff needs 33% folds. But compared with checking for a free card, betting wins once he folds ~27.5%.
Run your draw: madmanpoker.netlify.app #poker #pokermath
Bluff math you can do at the table: folds needed = bet ÷ (bet + pot).
½ pot → 33%
¾ pot → 43%
pot → 50%
2× pot → 67%
If he folds less often than that, the bluff loses money. Plug in your own spot: madmanpoker.netlify.app #poker #pokermath