New poll in the Iowa Senate race (YouGov, ended Oct 12): Turek 47%, Hinson 46%. A 1-point race.

Polls, forecasts and fundraising: tipthescaleblue.com/races/iowa-senate

#IASen #Election2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=IA-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the full list:...

PLAINS PAC spends $656,612 to OPPOSE Josh Turek (Sen IA Sen)(D)

#IASen.

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00750174&sCycle=2026

FEC:

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00750174/2028613

@SenJoniErnst x @ZachWahls @turek4iowa @Laehn4Iowa...

How an Iowa Senate ad from SLF PAC works on you: “violent illegal immigrants” is Loaded Language, words picked for the feeling, not the facts. Semblen found 6 techniques in the ad. semblen.com/races/ia-senate #IASen #Midterms2026 #PoliticalAds

Lower Costs Now reported $5.7M in one filing, for and against candidates in 4 Senate races.

Largest: $1.7M for Talarico (TX); $1.5M vs Husted (OH); $1.3M for Ossoff (GA); $1.2M for Turek (IA). #TXSen #OHSen #GASen #IASen

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00961276/2027647/

Lower Costs Now reported $5.7M in one filing, for and against candidates in 4 Senate races.

Largest: $1.7M for Talarico (TX); $1.5M vs Husted (OH); $1.3M for Ossoff (GA); $1.2M for Turek (IA). #TXSen #OHSen #GASen #IASen

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00961276/2027647/

WinSenate reported $29.2M in one filing, for and against candidates in 7 Senate races.

Largest: $7.3M vs Arenholz (IA); $6.7M vs Husted (OH); $5.2M vs Collins (ME); $4.1M vs Rogers (MI); and 3 more. #IASen #OHSen #MESen #MISen #NHSen #KSSen

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00865444/2027306/

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #AKSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=AK-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the list:...

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #AKSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=AK-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the list:...

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #AKSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=AK-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the list:...

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=IA-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the full list:...

Activate America spends $9,640 to SUPPORT Joshua Turek (Sen IA Sen)(D)

#IASen.

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00640300&sCycle=2026

FEC:

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00640300/2027157

@SenJoniErnst x @ZachWahls @turek4iowa @Laehn4Iowa...

Jim Carlin in June:
laurabelin.substack.com/p/senate-pol...
He's hard-core MAGA (2020 election denier and the whole works), so I wonder whether Trump or people close to Trump leaned on him to endorse Hinson now.

(Libertarian Thomas Laehn is also on the #IASen ballot.)

#IASen news: former State Senator Jim Carlin, who got about 26% in the GOP primary, posted today that he is endorsing Ashley Hinson and will vote for her.
www.facebook.com/Carlin4USSen...

In June Carlin posted, "I cannot in good conscience ask you to vote for Ashley Hinson."

I will do my biennial "What I got wrong" column after the election. But I will highlight two Democrats I caught who would be rising stars before or as they caught momentum. The first is Josh Turek, who is putting up a fight in #IASen
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

Mark Kelly opened his warchest for a bunch of candidates:
$5,000 to Abdul El-Sayed #MISen
$5,000 to Peggy Flanagan #MNSen
$5,000 to Angie Nixon #FLSen
$5,000 to Annie Andrews #SCSen
$2,500 to Hallie Shoffner
$5,000 to Talarico Victory Fund
$5,000 to Colom Victory Fund #MISen
$5,000 to Turek #IASen

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #AKSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=AK-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IASen

See the list:...

Clock Tower X, is Trump's former Campaign Manager Brad Parscale's firm.

Is Bibi trying to get involved in the #IASen race?

Probably the biggest bellwether Senate race on election night will be #IASen. Ashley Hinson is objectively the best Republican Senate recruit this cycle. If she staves off Turek, Republicans survive a massacre. If she loses in IOWA, the pain will come.

This is close to mine. I’d go:

#NCSen: Solid D
#MESen: Toss-up
#TXSen: Lean D
#KSSen: Lean R
#GASen: Solid D
#IASen: Toss-up
#AKSen: Lean D
#OHSen: Lean D
#FLSen: Likely R
#NESen: Likely R
#MISen: Lean D