Hanging out live right now, trading NQ, ES & gold on the charts. Come chill and say hi 👋
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🔴 Today's day-trade signals: 0W 0P 9L | 0% WR | -3.06%

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$CL_F rose 2.76 dollars to 97.85, 2.34 times a 1.18 dollar standard deviation day priced by 19.10% 30 day IV. Realized, the swing actually delivered over 30 days, is 37.42%, or 2.31 dollars. Unusual month or cheap options. Warsh speaks tonight 11:30pm New York time.

#oil #commodities #futures

$ZN_F is up 0.7 points at 105.58, already 1.64 of the 0.43 point day its options price. The past 30 days delivered 0.31 points a day. Positive dealer gamma tends to damp swings as long as price holds over 104.53, the flip 2.45 priced days down.

#bonds #treasuries #futures

The S&P lead over Nasdaq hits a 2.40 z score on the 20 day ratio, with $ES_F 7.5 points lower at 7762.75. Implied at 13.67% runs 3.39 vols over 10.28% realized, so options charge above what the index delivers. Warsh speaks at 11:30pm New York time tonight.

#futures #stockmarket #volatility

❌ LOSS: ES SHORT -0.16%
ES VWAP Reclaim

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❌ LOSS: NQ SHORT -0.40%
NQ VWAP Reclaim

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❌ LOSS: ES SHORT -0.25%
ES VWAP Steady

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sixsigmatraders.com/strategy/es-vwap-steady #ES $ES #futures #tradingsignals #daytrading

❌ LOSS: NQ LONG -0.09% (-$534 / 1 NQ contract)
ORB V2 NQ (shadow)

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❌ LOSS: ES SHORT -0.14% (-$525 / 1 ES contract)
ORB V2 ES (shadow)

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sixsigmatraders.com/strategy/orb-v2-es #ES $ES #futures #tradingsignals #daytrading

2 BMO: As an example, #10s jumped >5.30% immediately post-CPI before sliding to 5.19% by day's end.
Partly driving this wave are the ongoing concerns over hefty #AI #investment. That’s been weighing on #global #equities, and has most North American #futures pointing lower this morning 🧵
#markets

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🟢 Sigma Brief — Thursday, Oct 15
Regime: Normal
Gaps: ES -0.21%, NQ -1.05%, CL -1.06%, GC +1.56%
Normal volatility (VIX 17.4). Overnight gaps: NQ gapped down 1.051%, CL gapped down 1.062%, GC gapped...

sixsigmatraders.com/sigma-brief #ES #NQ #CL #GC $ES $NQ $CL $GC #futures #premarket #trading

Futures trade almost 24 hours a day. That doesn’t mean you should. ⏰ The clock matters more than most traders think. Trade when the volume is there and you get tighter spreads, less slippage, fewer surprise gaps and cleaner exits. #futurestrading #daytrading #futures #tradingtips

Today @goldsmithsuol.bsky.social: speaking at the public workshop “ #AI Imaginations: Narratives in Digital #Futures. ” Thanks to Tomoko #Tamari & Mike #Featherstone for the invitation. www.tomokotamari.com/ai-imaginati...
#culturalsociology #practicetheory

🔴 Today's day-trade signals: 0W 1P 7L | 12.5% WR | -1.77%

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Gold options price 19.73% implied vol for the next 30 days, 0.68 vols under the 20.41% realized. That is a 51.2 dollar day priced against 53 delivered, and today's 56.2 dollar drop topped both. $GC_F carries that gap into Core PPI on Oct 15 and Warsh on Oct 16.

#gold #commodities #futures

$ZN_F realized vol over 30 days is 4.35% against 6.23% implied, so options charge for a 0.41 point day against the 0.29 delivered. Today's 0.16 point rise is 0.38 of that priced day. Core PPI and Core Retail Sales on Oct 15 fall inside the 30 days these options cover.

#bonds #treasuries #futures

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❌ LOSS: NQ LONG -3.05% (-$19,139 / 1 NQ contract)
NQ Invest Trend

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