Football pitch control: why useful space is more than proximity

Thierno Barry's goal against Hull on Sunday began with a pass that belonged to the other team.

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Read the full article: thesensiblestats.com/r/bluesky/ar...

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs FC Ararat-Armenia — Europa League
Model verdict: Jagiello…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Europa%20League/jagiellonia-bia-ystok-vs-fc-ararat-armenia-2026-10-15?utm_source=bluesky
#football #UEL #FootballData

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

Gent vs AGF Aarhus — Conference League
Model verdict: Gent · Confidence 78%
Gent has won 7 of the las…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Conference%20League/gent-vs-agf-aarhus-2026-10-15?utm_source=bluesky
#football #UECL #FootballData

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce — Champions League
Model verdict: Aston Villa · Confidence 80%
Aston V…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Champions%20League/aston-villa-vs-fenerbahce-2026-10-14?utm_source=bluesky
#football #UCL #FootballData

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

LASK vs Liverpool — Champions League
Model verdict: Liverpool · Confidence 84%
Liverpool has won 3 of th…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Champions%20League/lask-vs-liverpool-2026-10-14?utm_source=bluesky
#football #UCL #FootballData

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

Atlético Mad…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Champions%20League/atletico-madrid-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-13?utm_source=bluesky
Full model output lands in the channel first: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #UCL #FootballData

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

Atalanta BC vs Venezia — Serie A…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Serie%20A/atalanta-bc-vs-venezia-2026-10-12?utm_source=bluesky
Full model output lands in the channel first: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #SerieA #FootballData

One side carries the denser probability mass tonight.

Besiktas JK vs Kocaelispor — Tr…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Trendyol%20S%C3%BCper%20Lig/besiktas-jk-vs-kocaelispor-2026-10-11?utm_source=bluesky
Every fixture we run is mirrored here: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #FootballData

Fresh read from the terminal.

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich — Bundesliga
Model verdict:…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Bundesliga/augsburg-vs-bayern-munich-2026-10-10?utm_source=bluesky
Full model output lands in the channel first: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #Bundesliga #FootballData

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

West H…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/English%20Championship/west-ham-united-vs-queens-park-rangers-2026-10-09?utm_source=bluesky
Full model output lands in the channel first: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #EFL #FootballData

Historical twins of this match point in a single direction.

Vitoria vs Chapecoense — Brazil Série A
Model verdict: Vitoria · Confidence 62%
Vitori…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/Brazil%20S%C3%A9rie%20A/vitoria-vs-chapecoense-2026-10-07?utm_source=bluesky
#football #Brasileirao #FootballData

Worth a look before kickoff.

Albania vs San Marino — UEFA Nations League
Model verdict: Albania · Confidence 96%
Albania has won 2 of the last 3 recorded fixtur…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/UEFA%20Nations%20League/albania-vs-san-marino-2026-10-06?utm_source=bluesky
#football #FootballData

One side carries the denser probability mass tonight.

Wales vs Denmark — UEFA Nations League
Model verdict: Denmark · Confidence 74%
Denmark has won 1 of the last 3…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/UEFA%20Nations%20League/wales-vs-denmark-2026-10-04?utm_source=bluesky
#football #FootballData

One side carries the denser probability mass tonight.

Spain vs Czech Republic — UEFA Nations…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/UEFA%20Nations%20League/spain-vs-czech-republic-2026-10-03?utm_source=bluesky
Every fixture we run is mirrored here: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #FootballData

One side carries the denser probability mass tonight.

Wales vs Norway — UEFA Nations League
Model verdict: Norway · Confidence 83%
Norway has won 1 of the last 3 reco…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/UEFA%20Nations%20League/wales-vs-norway-2026-10-01?utm_source=bluesky
#football #FootballData

Revealed: Our fastest players so far #PremierLeague #ManchesterUnited #FastestPlayers #OptaStats #FootballData

Revealed: Our fastest players so far #PremierLeague #ManchesterUnited #FastestPlayers #OptaStats #FootballData

One side carries the denser probability mass tonight.

Spain vs Croatia — UEFA Nations League
Model…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/UEFA%20Nations%20League/spain-vs-croatia-2026-09-29?utm_source=bluesky
Every fixture we run is mirrored here: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #FootballData

One side carries the denser probability mass tonight.

Sweden vs Poland — UEFA Nations League
Model…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/UEFA%20Nations%20League/sweden-vs-poland-2026-09-28?utm_source=bluesky
Every fixture we run is mirrored here: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #FootballData

One side carries the denser probability mass tonight.

Albania vs Belarus — UEFA Nations League
Mo…
https://theboxpredict.com/predictions/UEFA%20Nations%20League/albania-vs-belarus-2026-09-26?utm_source=bluesky
Every fixture we run is mirrored here: https://t.me/theboxpredict
#football #FootballData