Incredible stuff happening in the Nate Silver midterm forecast.

The Kansas #kssen US Senate election is more competitive than Maine #mesen.

And Alaska #aksen is the tightest US Senate race in the country.

It really feels like a realignment is happening.

BREAKING: Roger Marshall just voted against a war powers resolution that could have ended the Iran war and brought relief to Kansans suffering from high costs. #KSSen #KSLeg

🌟 BlueSky trending hashtags (1h) #16-30:

#furry #otd #gamedev #oc #pinks #kssen #horny #섹블 #humpday #digitalart #aiイラスト #photography #pokemon #aewcollision #yuri

👇 #1-15 trending hashtags

🔥 BlueSky trending hashtags (30m):

#aewdynamite #survivor51 #art #thenoircollective #kansascityconfidential #wlw #kssen #yuri #aew #nsfw #survivor #coyotevsacme #quemamacuida #furryart #bb28

🚀 BlueSky trending hashtags (15m):

#aewdynamite #survivor51 #thenoircollective #art #aew #kansascityconfidential #survivor #wlw #nsfw #yuri #섹블 #섹트 #wrestlesky #gamedev #kssen

I could point to a dozen more instances and data points today that tell us just how screwed the Republicans.

But here's my favorite:

Suddenly-vulnerable GOP Sen. Roger Marshall of Kansas calling out...ICE!

#KSSen

Outside groups accounted for the MAJORITY of ad spending in the last month in these races:

#MSSen 89.3%
#FLSen 82.7%
#MESen 78.9%
#IASen 78.9%
#AKSen 78.4%
#OHSen 75%
#NCSen 73.8%
#TXSen 68.9%
#MASen 67.3%
#MISen 65.2%
#NESen 64.9%
#SCSen 63.9%
#KSSen 62.3%
#MNSen 59.6%
#NHSen 53.5%
#GASen 53.4%

New @CookPolitical: with less than six weeks to go, the fight for the Senate is a true Toss Up, with three races shifting towards Dems:

#GASEN: Lean D to Likely D
#KSSEN: Likely R to Lean R
#SCSEN: Solid R to Likely R

Full analysis by @JessicaTaylor: www.cookpolitical.com/…

Ratings changes from Cook:

#KSSen: Likely R to Lean R
#GASen: Lean D to Likely D
#SCSen: Solid R to Likely R
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/sen...

Screw it! Senate ratings
#NCSen Likely D
#IASen Toss Up
#OHSen Lean D
#TXSen Toss Up
#AKSen Lean D
#MESen Toss Up
#GASen Likely D
#MISen Lean D
#KSSen Toss Up
#FLSen Lean R
#NESen Lean R

Apparently these changes are based on Nate Silver’s election modeling, not vibes.

I can see the arguments for #KSSen, #MISen and #NVGov, but the ratings for #AKGov and #GAGov strike me as insane.

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #AKSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=AK-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #KSSen

See the list:...

More tough headlines for Kansas GOP Sen. Roger Marshall who apparently spends A LOT more time in Florida than he previously admitted.

#KSSen

kansasreflector.com/2026/09/18/u...

Former Kansas Governor Bill Graves is refusing to support Roger Marshall because he has "gotten lost in the swamp" and "walked away from Kansas people." That should tell you everything you need to know. #KSSen #KSLeg

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #KSSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=KS-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #KSSen

See the full list:...

PEOPLE OVER POLITICS ACTION FUND spends $202,865 to OPPOSE Roger Marshall (Sen KS Sen)(R)

#KSSen.

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00953299&sCycle=2026

FEC:

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00953299/2013039

@SenatorMarshall...

WE GOT A DEAD HEAT IN THE KANSAS SENATE RACE!
Adam Hamilton 45%
Roger Marshall 43%
#KSSen
emersoncollegepolling.com/kansas-2026/

Will this year be different? #Election2026 #Midterms2026 #KansasSenateRace #KSSen youtu.be/QcmH3zwjXp0

You can thank Roger Marshall for this. #KSSen #KSLeg