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Grilled Cheese is a product of Village Compute

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@voxeu.orgSep 21, 2026, 8:59 AM

Paul Beaudry, Paolo Cavallino, & Tim Willems show that narrow windows around nonfarm payroll releases and speeches by prominent Federal Reserve policymakers capture 80-90% of the observed increase in long-term US yields, despite covering only 24% of trading days.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

The figure graphs the 10-year US Treasury yield, the 5-year/5-year forward rate, and the average expected short rate over the next 10 years.

The sharp rise in long-term interest rates since 2020 is difficult to explain from slow-moving fundamentals. This column shows that narrow windows around nonfarm payroll releases and speeches by prominent Federal Reserve policymakers capture 80-90% of the observed increase in long-term US yields, despite covering only 24% of trading days. These events primarily shift expectations about the policy-rate path rather than the natural rate of interest. This suggests that natural rate of interest may anchor long-term rates less firmly than standard theory assumes, allowing shifts in monetary policy perceptions to generate persistent, and potentially self-validating, movements in yields.
@cenapahmet.bsky.socialSep 21, 2026, 8:33 AM

2 minutes ago:

Source: #apostonews
@pmaier1971.bsky.social
@hbr-4.bsky.social

#EconSky
#market
#economy

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@reveconstudies.bsky.socialSep 21, 2026, 8:02 AM

New paper by Bornstein

www.restud.com/entry-and-pr...

#REStud
#EconSky

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@voxeu.orgSep 21, 2026, 8:00 AM

David Deming, Katrine Løken, Alexander Willén, & Yaling Xu use Norwegian survey data to show that workers who spend more time in meetings experience faster wage growth and that meetings are more common at firms with high wage premia and higher revenue.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

This figure compares how time spent on different workday activities predicts wage rank growth. The figure reports, for each activity, the coefficient from a separate regression of wage rank growth on the standardised time a worker spent on that activity during their most recent in-office day, with its 95% confidence interval. All regressions include individual controls and sector, occupation, and firm fixed effects. Individual controls include gender, college education, age group, immigrant status, marital/cohabitation status, union membership, municipality of residence, and baseline wage. Standard errors are clustered by firm.

Few features of modern work are as widely criticised as meetings. Using data from over 9,000 workers in Norway, this column examines how meetings are organised and their effects on firm outcomes. The average worker in our survey spends 4.7 hours per week in meetings, with managers and professionals spending substantially more time in them than other workers. Meetings are substantially more common at firms with higher wage premia and higher revenue, while workers who spend more time in meetings experience faster wage growth, suggesting that meetings provide opportunities to exchange information and knowledge that may benefit not only the firm, but also the workers who participate in them.
@zer0billionaires.bsky.socialSep 21, 2026, 2:10 AM

One trip to Mar-a-Lago costs about $3.4 MILLION. That's a year of grocery assistance for 450 people, 240,000 food bank meals and more.The Wall Street Journal's advice was to skip breakfast.

zer0billionaires.org?w=mar_a_lago...

#Zer0Billionaires #Resist #VoteBlue #econsky

Wall Street Journal headline "To Save Money, Maybe You Should Skip Breakfast" shown with a tweet saying "Poor? Have you tried starving?" above a photo of a masked shopper reaching for cartons of eggs on a supermarket shelf.
@seanbrodrick.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 7:43 PM

Shipping costs continued their parabolic rise last week.
I think this is trouble brewing. It could lead to an inflationary spike. #EconSky

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@him20xx.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 6:08 PM

It's Day 117 and let's band together with the truckers and talk with our representatives of the United States.
#Resist #EconSky

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@cenapahmet.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 5:59 PM

@naturalareas.bsky.social

Reasons for Deforestation...
The world loses 5 million hectares of forest every year due to deforestation.
The graph below shows the rates of destruction of tropical forests...

Source: @ourworldindata.org

#EconSky
#OurForests
#World
#hectare

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@comrade-letrinhan.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 12:51 PM

A small data release on Vietnam’s provincial E-Business Index (EBI), 2012–2026, cleaned and harmonized across the administrative merge.

Includes panel data, province crosswalks, maps, and visualizations.

Link: huggingface.co/datasets/let...

#EconSky #OpenData

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@zer0billionaires.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 9:00 AM

Supermarket groups have filed several suits, one of them federal, to stop New York opening five city-owned grocery stores. The issue isn't that the prices are unfair - it's because they're lower.

#Zer0Billionaires #Resist #VoteBlue #econsky

Screenshot of a post from Null (@Vhoyde) reading "Suing the government when it tries to make groceries affordable is such an American thing," with a crying-laughing emoji. It quotes a post from Pubity: "Mamdani is being sued by the National Supermarket Association for trying to open 5 state-funded grocery stores with reasonable prices. Supermarkets claim they can't compete with Mamdani's prices and that these stores shouldn't be allowed." Below, a photograph of Mayor Zohran Mamdani speaking at a podium bearing the New York City seal, in front of supporters holding "N.Y.C. Groceries" signs.
@inomics.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 9:00 AM

💻 Learn how to run the GTAP Model using R packages HARr and tabloToR with this self-paced online course from Purdue University. Open enrollment, with 56 days to complete the course after access is granted. #econSky
--> https://inomics.link/gtap-bsk

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@zer0billionaires.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 3:00 AM

Steinbeck wrote this in Cannery Row in 1945. Eighty years on, the traits we tell children to have are still the ones that get punished, and the ones we condemn still get paid.

There's a reason we read the "classics".

#Zer0Billionaires #Resist #VoteBlue #econsky

A quotation card with a small black-and-white portrait of John Steinbeck. The text reads: "It has always seemed strange to me… The things we admire in men, kindness and generosity, openness, honesty, understanding and feeling, are the concomitants of failure in our system. And those traits we detest, sharpness, greed, acquisitiveness, meanness, egotism and self-interest, are the traits of success. And while men admire the quality of the first they love the produce of the second." Attributed to John Steinbeck, Cannery Row.
@gamegrouch.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 1:39 AM

Everyone is watching $100 crude, but diesel at $6.28 and heating oil hitting $5.47 into an empty SPR (285 bbl) is the real macro story.
#EconSky #Energy #Geopolitics

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@zer0billionaires.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 10:00 PM

A Senate candidate on Medicare: "I certainly support a work requirement for able-bodied Medicare recipients."

That's the programme people paid into for forty years of working. No one has ever proposed a work requirement for a tax cut.

#Zer0Billionaires #Resist #VoteBlue #econsky

Screenshot of a post from Headquarters (@HQNewsNow) reading: "Republican New Hampshire Senate candidate John Sununu says he supports a work requirement for seniors on Medicare." Below, a video still of a bald man in a dark sweater speaking to camera in front of a bookshelf holding red-bound volumes and display baseballs. Beneath, a comment from @SkylineReport: "There you have it. Ninety-year-old grandmas will now have to work to keep their health care. If they can stand and walk, they can work. WTF, folks."
@him20xx.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 6:12 PM

Did you hear that truck drivers are boycotting on October 1st, 2026? How will this effect the economy in the U.S? Stockpile with kindness and grow a small food supply.
#resist #EconSky

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@him20xx.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 6:10 PM

You stayed strong on Day 115.
#resist #EconSky

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@him20xx.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 6:09 PM

You're a winner surviving on Day 114.
#resist #EconSky

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@him20xx.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 6:07 PM

Congrats on making it through Day 113.
#resist #EconSky

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@him20xx.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 6:07 PM

Congrats on Day 112 on boycotting.
#resist #EconSky

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@him20xx.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 6:06 PM

Congrats on surviving Day 111.
#resist #EconSky

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