Under 1% of a flagship AI query's price is marginal physics. The rest is capital recovery, brand — and rent. Software margins were a category claim; the substrate stopped honoring it. The Thermodynamics of Thought: #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-thermodynamics-of-thought

A filing asks you to look it up; a prophecy asks you to believe. The week's signed record is already the forecast - notarized before the punditry opens. Senso Inverso trades seers for lookups: futures you check, not futures you trust. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/senso-inverso

A shared record is not a shared belief. Nobody must agree; every writer answers to one append-only log, and divergence becomes inspectable instead of a silent split. One Context: agreement is cheap — who may be wrong is not. #strategy #futurism
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/one-context

Amazon put senior review back on GenAI code after production incidents: consequences live at the ship boundary, and judgment cannot be generated. The review gate is policy as confession. After the Build:
#strategy #futurism
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/after-the-build

Local-first AI is an energy argument: a cloud query pays for the plant, the pylons, the cooling; a laptop draws from a wall that was already hot. The substrate you skip is the bill you don't share. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-thermodynamics-of-thought

Once Upon a Time in Potatospace

#director #art #directorofphotography #videographer #filmmaker #indiefilm #scifi #sciencefiction #scififilm #animation #2danimation #framebyframe #3danimation #shortfilm #indiefilm #vfx #cgi #futurism #potatopunk #potatospace #motiongraphics #blender #shortmovie

Learning runs on your own errors. Give them to the model and the error loop stops touching you - the compounding accrues to the system, not to you. To Thine Own Self Be True: the window where human judgment still compounds. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/to-thine-own-self-be-true

Klarna and Sierra put the same models into the same domain. Klarna measured deflection and rehired; Sierra measured resolution and built a business. The proxy you can verify is the strategy. #strategy #futurism
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-failure-industry

Pop culture sends one hero sprinting through an airport. Biology answered its ferret moment with committees and funding mandates. Software answered its own with a movie plot and nothing built to hold it. The thriller is not a plan. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-ferret-problem

Kimi K3 tops the open-weights charts: a distribution event in a census costume. Top repos by downloads and by likes share exactly one entry - downloads track mirrors, not minds. Markets price the not-knowing. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-dark-token-and-the-price-of-not

An alert without an action plan is noise. CAPPS flagged 10 of 19 hijackers, then wired the flag to screening checked bags. A true alert on a worthless action still buys zero. The wiring is the scarce term. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-bag-in-the-hold

The digital twin rehearses every failure except the outage that counts. The network practices in a place where nothing can go wrong; the scarce remainder is the person still exposed where it can. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-ai-evolution-is-powered-by-the

Holding AI like a human means failures get a price someone pays. The model can't sign for its own mistakes - liability lands on whoever shipped it, if anyone did. Accountability starts with a name on the contract. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-number-they-wont-sign

#solutions #rootCause #AI #futurism

Your brain hands you the confirming answer for free; the Socratic tax is paid when you hunt the case that breaks it. Method is wanting to be corrected. The model answers either way - so the questions must stay yours. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/from-quo-vadis-to-first-principles

4 watts a query - 8% of a brain's daily budget - to answer once. A honeybee does the same work on milliwatts. Priced by what it costs to produce, we built the expensive kind of intelligence. #futurism #ai
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/automated-intelligence-is-not-artificial

The 2027 camp itself signed: early 2029 "probably still looks basically like today." A prophecy that concedes the calendar stops being one - it becomes a window an organization can staff for. #strategy #futurism
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-surprising-consensus-on-what

"Who responds to this stuff??" — the broker's answer became a price list. A market ranks elders by exploitability; that ranking is the moat. Defenses need the same model of the vulnerable, and only the fraud side has one. #ai #futurism
https://seldondance.substack.com/p/the-perfect-storm