#budget #Donald Trump #energy #energy prices #government #Iran #politics #prices #Trump #SHUT UP, PIGGY 🐷 #volatility #war
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Watch Bitcoin's 1-week realized volatility for the real tell: when it spikes 40% during sideways price action, liquidation cascades follow within 48-72 hours. Use Glassnode and Coinglass together to spot positioning stress before the move hits. #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #Volatility

$NQ_F at 30680.25 holds 9.7 points over its 30670.55 gamma flip, just 0.03 of the 379.52 point day options price. Today's 18.5 point slip is wider than that cushion. Above the flip dealer hedging dampens moves, below it adds to them. Payrolls land Friday Oct 2.

#futures #stockmarket #volatility

Today's 3 $AUDUSD prints of 100M notional or more are all puts, struck 70 to 225 pips below 0.6945 spot. At 0.6875, at least 129M expires Oct 23 2026 and 103M expires Oct 14 2026. The 0.6720 strike holds at least 126M out to Feb 4 2027. Oct 14 2026 is the earliest expiry.

#forex #fx #volatility

Of 58 $EURUSD option prints of 100M or more today, 10 hit the size ceiling. Three of them bracket spot. The 1.1320 puts, at least 330M each to Nov 3 2026, sit 26 pips above 1.1294 spot, in the money. The 1.1220 put, at least 327M to Nov 20 2026, sits 74 pips below.

#forex #fx #volatility

$GBPUSD has realized 37 pip days over 30 days, 31% smaller than the 53 a day options price to Oct 9. That band runs 1.3101 to 1.3363, 131 pips either way of 1.3232. US payrolls Friday Oct 2 is the top tier release inside, with no central bank before the 10am New York cut.

#forex #fx #volatility

As of 11:28 am New York on Wednesday, options on the US listed Taiwan ETF, proxy for Taiwan's TAIEX, price a 1.93% day. 30 day IV at 30.7% sits 3.7 vol points over 20 day realized of 27% to the Sep 29 close, so options price bigger moves than that window delivered.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

$USDJPY has been having 115 pip days over the past 30 days, while options expiring Oct 9 price 90 pips a day. Realized runs 28% over that. Next Fed and BoJ decisions land Oct 28 and Oct 30, after expiry, so payrolls on Oct 2 is the window's top release.

#forex #fx #volatility

#AI #credit #investment #volatility
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#Inflation #investor #volatility
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Inflation is back and it’s rude. The Fed used one word four times. You won’t believe the word.
#Inflation #Volatility #Soars #Finance #Satire
https://processorpress.com/story/801/inflation-volatility-soars-fed-chair-warns-prices-are-robust-robust-robust-robus

At least 188M of $GBPUSD 1.3075 puts printed, 216 pips under spot 1.3291. With them came 185M of 1.2850 puts and 131M of 1.3100 puts. The 9 day RR25 is 0.54 vols toward puts, so downside cover costs more, with UK growth at 1.4% over a 1.2% forecast. All 3 expire Nov 6 2026.

#forex #fx #volatility

$EURUSD 1.1360 is 15 pips under at least 1.20B of 1.1375 puts expiring Thursday Oct 1 at the 10am New York cut. That gap sits well inside the 42 pips a day priced by 6.23% 9 day IV. Hedging that close can hold spot near the strike until the cut, then the pull is gone.

#forex #fx #volatility

Options on the US listed China large cap ETF, the proxy for the FTSE China 50, price 4.4 vol points over what it has delivered. At Tuesday's New York close 30 day IV was 22.3%, a 1.40% typical day, against 17.9% realized over 20 sessions.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

European open, Tuesday Sep 29.

Inverted curve and negative gamma dealers on the Euro Stoxx 50. Near term stress is priced in.
Dealers are long gamma on the S&P Europe 350, so swings should stay contained.

#volatility #derivatives #quant