We now have a category 1 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico...
The storm is expected to reach category 2 strength before landfall late Friday or early Saturday.
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The Wednesday 11pm advisory for Isaias...
As of this advisory, the system remains a strong tropical storm.
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An Air Force C-130 "Hurricane Hunter" is making passes through Isaias on Wednesday evening...
Winds with the storm remain at 65mph as of the 8pm advisory.
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Morning lows on Wednesday...
From 39 degrees in Boone to 64 degrees at Hatteras.
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If the name sounds familiar...
A hurricane by the same name visited North Carolina in August 2020. The 2020 version of Isaias did over 5 billion dollars in damage. Interesting fact, it is the second highest damage total for a storm who's name was not retired.
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Late Wednesday afternoon, a NOAA P-3 heads back to base as the NOAA "Gulfstream" takes high altitude readings around Tropical Storm Isaias.
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The Wednesday 5pm advisory for Isaias...
The system will likely become a hurricane within the next 12 to 18 hours.
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Isaias continues to "windup" in the Gulf of Mexico...
The storm is looking "healthier" by the hour.
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A NOAA P-3 is currently taking weather reading in and around Tropical Storm Isaias...
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As of Wednesday morning, we have Tropical Storm Isaias...
Expected to become a hurricane within the next 24 hours.
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As of the Tuesday 11pm advisory...
Tropical Depression Nine remains a tropical depression.
Most likely a tropical storm on Wednesday.
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NHC's first advisory for Tropical Depression Nine...
Their forecast brings it to a category 2 storm with a northward track into the Tennessee Valley.
North Carolina would still have a decent rain chance on Sunday with that forecast path.
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NHC will start issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nine starting at 5pm...
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Rainfall potential based on the possible track of the system in the Gulf of Mexico...
Be advised, there is a lot of variability in this forecast due to the track and strength of the system.
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NOAA's "Gulfstream" is flying a pattern around the disturbance in the western Gulf of Mexico... This data, about the environment around the system, will be put into computer models to help determine potential track and strength of the storm.
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The Tuesday morning view of what will likely become our next tropical system in the Atlantic Basin...
NOAA's "Gulfstream" is schedule to fly around it later today with an Air Force Recon mission scheduled for Wednesday.
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A nice looking sunset from NCSU...
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Rainfall potential for North Carolina through next Monday afternoon... Models continue to bring tropical moisture into the state from Saturday night, Sunday, into Monday.
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All eyes in the western Gulf of Mexico...
Models are indicating that moisture from, whatever this becomes, will find its way to North Carolina by the weekend.
Could be a good opportunity for some needed rain.
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Completed my latest model project this afternoon…
A “Strike Eagle” with SJAFB markings.
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